Table 3.

Quality of model fit on the test data.

Year	Sensitivity		Specificity		Area under the curve		Lift
	Baseline	Clinical notes	Baseline	Clinical notes	Baseline	Clinical notes	Baseline	Clinical notes
0	0.45	0.68	0.98	0.99	0.84	0.94	13.92	16.39
3	0.27	0.30	0.95	0.95	0.67	0.70	4.12	4.62
4	0.27	0.29	0.94	0.95	0.66	0.69	3.80	4.03
5	0.25	0.28	0.94	0.94	0.61	0.68	3.23	3.60
6	0.25	0.24	0.93	0.93	0.62	0.63	2.91	2.84
7	0.24	0.26	0.91	0.92	0.62	0.68	2.39	2.52
8	0.25	0.26	0.91	0.91	0.59	0.58	2.34	2.43