Table 4.
Parameters of three scenarios.
| Parameter | Scenario | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AED | ERC | LOD | ||
| Growth rate of output | primary industry | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| secondary industry | 7% | 5% | 5% | |
| tertiary industry | 8% | 6% | 8% | |
| Growth rate of the production of fossil energy | coal | Adopt historical data |
0.47% from 2015–2030 −0.98% from 2031–2050 |
0.47% from 2015–2030 −0.98% from 2031–2050 |
| petroleum | Adopt historical data |
4.75% from 2015–2030 3.61% from 2031–2050 |
4.75% from 2015–2030 3.61% from 2031–2050 |
|
| natural gas | Adopt historical data |
5.67% from 2015–2030 0.65% from 2031–2050 |
5.67% from 2015–2030 0.65% from 2031–2050 |
|
| Growth rate of the production of non-fossil energy | Adopt historical data | Constant | 7.64% | |
| Motor vehicle policy | Adopt historical data | Constant | phase out production and sales of fossil fuel cars by 2035 | |