Table 5.

Simulation values of three scenarios of Chinese Urbanization-energy SD model.

		AED scenario				ERC scenario				LOD scenario
		2015	2020	2035	2050	2015	2020	2035	2050	2015	2020	2035	2050
Total GDP volume (trillion Yuan)		19.72	28.78	89.37	221.10	19.72	24.81	42.64	127.63	19.72	26.67	71.63	171.97
Urbanization level (%)		56.09	60.67	70.00	76.79	56.09	60.56	69.59	75.96	56.09	60.66	71.00	76.41
Total amount of energy consumption (Mtce)		4126.16	4521.54	8353.86	13313.46	4126.16	4238.78	5750.57	9238.31	4126.16	4407.88	6929.79	11416.15
Industrial energy consumption	(Mtce)	3219.48	3370.45	5841.15	8225.31	3219.48	3209.56	3658.51	5784.85	3219.48	3321.66	4742.39	7094.85
	(%)	78.03	74.54	69.92	61.78	78.03	75.72	63.62	62.62	78.03	75.36	68.43	62.15
Residential energy consumption	(Mtce)	508.46	699.89	1893.74	4425.74	508.46	611.33	1301.38	2816.01	508.46	658.74	1678.91	3682.58
	(%)	12.32	15.47	22.67	33.24	12.32	14.42	22.63	30.48	12.32	14.94	24.23	32.26
Transportation energy consumption	(Mtce)	398.22	451.20	618.98	662.41	398.22	417.89	579.62	637.45	398.22	427.48	605.62	638.72
	(%)	9.65	9.98	7.41	4.98	9.65	9.86	10.08	6.90	9.65	9.70	8.74	5.59
Coal	(Mtce)	2610.02	3084.94	3646.27	8411.29	2610.02	2673.21	2707.86	2332.90	2610.02	2673.21	2707.86	2332.90
	(%)	72.10	71.03	58.89	60.78	72.10	67.13	51.83	35.97	72.10	65.95	45.34	23.47
Oil	(Mtce)	307.70	331.48	414.43	518.13	307.70	388.10	558.42	321.87	307.70	388.10	558.41	321.87
	(%)	8.50	7.63	6.69	3.74	8.50	9.75	10.69	4.96	8.50	9.57	9.35	3.24
Natural gas	(Mtce)	177.38	239.62	590.73	1456.34	177.38	233.71	417.59	378.37	177.38	233.71	417.59	378.37
	(%)	4.90	5.52	9.54	10.52	4.90	5.87	7.99	5.83	4.90	5.77	6.99	3.81
Non-fossil energy	(Mtce)	524.90	687.00	1540.3	3453.30	524.90	687.00	1540.3	3453.3	524.90	758.48	2288.5	6904.87
	(%)	14.50	15.82	24.88	24.95	14.50	17.25	29.48	53.24	14.50	18.71	38.32	69.48
CO2 emissions (billion tons)		7.15	8.31	13.73	23.22	7.15	7.69	8.62	7.07	7.15	7.69	8.76	7.07
SO2 emissions (Mt)		21.97	25.68	30.92	31.67	21.97	17.18	16.29	10.70	21.97	19.77	16.57	9.79