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. 2020 Mar 12;4(3):pkaa021. doi: 10.1093/jncics/pkaa021

Table 2.

Hazard ratios (95% CI) of cancers by quintile of PRS, UK Biobank*

Cancer site Q1 (low) Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 P trend
Prostate
 No. of cases 316 566 795 1037 1716
 HR (95% CI) 1.00 (Referent) 1.78 (1.55 to 2.05) 2.54 (2.23 to 2.89) 3.34 (2.94 to 3.79) 5.63 (5.00 to 6.35) <.001
Breast
 No. of cases 413 639 774 996 1518
 HR (95% CI) 1.00 (Referent) 1.56 (1.38 to 1.76) 1.89 (1.68 to 2.13) 2.45 (2.18 to 2.74) 3.77 (3.39 to 4.21) <.001
Colorectum
 No. of cases 257 399 460 554 788
 HR (95% CI) 1.00 (Referent) 1.56 (1.33 to 1.82) 1.80 (1.54 to 2.10) 2.16 (1.87 to 2.51) 3.08 (2.68 to 3.55) <.001
Lung
 No. of cases 221 266 300 342 379
 HR (95% CI) 1.00 (Referent) 1.20 (1.01 to 1.44) 1.36 (1.15 to 1.62) 1.54 (1.30 to 1.82) 1.71 (1.45 to 2.02) <.001
Kidney
 No. of cases 76 100 99 122 148
 HR (95% CI) 1.00 (Referent) 1.32 (0.98 to 1.77) 1.30 (0.97 to 1.76) 1.61 (1.21 to 2.14) 1.96 (1.48 to 2.58) <.001
Bladder
 No. of cases 62 89 99 126 137
 HR (95% CI) 1.00 (Referent) 1.43 (1.03 to 1.97) 1.6 (1.16 to 2.19) 2.04 (1.5 to 2.76) 2.21 (1.64 to 2.99) <.001
Ovary
 No. of cases 60 55 62 73 108
 HR (95% CI) 1.00 (Referent) 0.92 (0.64 to 1.32) 1.03 (0.72 to 1.47) 1.22 (0.86 to 1.71) 1.81 (1.32 to 2.48) <.001
Pancreas
 No. of cases 42 60 71 119 140
 HR (95% CI) 1.00 (Referent) 1.43 (0.96 to 2.12) 1.70 (1.16 to 2.48) 2.84 (2.00 to 4.03) 3.37 (2.39 to 4.76) <.001
*

Cutoff points for quintiles were based on the distribution of all study participants. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated using Cox regression and adjusted for age, birth cohort, genotyping array, top 10 principal components for ancestry, and sex (for nonsex-specific cancer only). CI = confidence interval; PRS = polygenic risk score.

Two-sided Wald tests were performed with a type I error of 0.05.