Table 2.
Best fit parameters obtained from fits of Eq. 2 to total number of cases data of several countries. In all fits . Error of fit for , and are, respectively ± 104 cases, ± 0.1 days, and ± 0.01
| Country |
(number) |
(days) |
b (days) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | 0.83 | 1.7 | 0.45 | 16 |
| South Korea | 0.10 | 0.6 | 0.16 | 8 |
| Iran | 1.02 | 1.5 | 0.17 | 32 |
| Turkey | 1.49 | 2.7 | 0.46 | 27 |
| Italy | 2.40 | 0.9 | 0.08 | 37 |
| Spain | 2.80 | 1.8 | 0.25 | 33 |
| France | 1.91 | 1.8 | 0.21 | 36 |
| USA | 18.0 | 1.4 | 0.14 | 44 |
| Russia | 5.16 | 2.4 | 0.20 | 53 |
| Germany | 1.90 | 1.5 | 0.20 | 30 |
| UK | 2.80 | 1.9 | 0.18 | 43 |
| Brazil | 14.9 | 1.0a | 0.04 | 88 |
aFixed parameter in the fit
bCounts from the start of the epidemic in each state, and not from 22-01-2020