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. 2018 Sep 27;21(3):400–416. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxy057

Table 1.

Full list of notation and parameter values used

Parameter Explanation Value Unit
Inline graphic Population size Inline graphic individuals
Inline graphic Individual birth rate Inline graphic weekInline graphic
Inline graphic Aging from age group 1 (age 0–4) to 2 (age 5–59) Inline graphic weekInline graphic
Inline graphic Aging from age group 2 (age 5–59) to 3 (age 60+) Inline graphic weekInline graphic
Inline graphic Death rate (from age group 3 (age 60+) ) Inline graphic weekInline graphic
Inline graphic Susceptibility of age group Inline graphic To be estimated individuals/week
Inline graphic Immunity waning rate Inline graphic weekInline graphic
Inline graphic Recovery rate Inline graphic weekInline graphic
Inline graphic Phase shift of the seasonal forcing To be estimated 1
Inline graphic Amplitude of the seasonal forcing To be estimated 1
Inline graphic Force of infection of age group Inline graphic Defined by Eqn. (3.3) individuals/week
Inline graphic Seasonal forcing function Defined by Eqn. (3.4) 1
Inline graphic Overdispersion parameter To be estimated 1
Inline graphic Scale parameter of the Inline graphic-noise To be estimated 1
Inline graphic Time step To be estimated week
Inline graphic Basic reproduction number To be estimated individuals

The inverse of the yearly birth rate equals the sum of the inverses of the yearly aging and death rates which add up to Inline graphic which is the total life expectancy at birth in Germany averaged between the years 2001 and 2008, taken from The World Bank (2016). The averaged population size Inline graphic in Germany during that time period is taken from Statistisches Bundesamt (2016) and the reporting interval is 1 week. As in Atkins and others (2012), we assume that all individuals are immune against rotavirus for an average of one year. A more detailed discussion on the choice of this assumption can be found in Section 7.