. 2020 Jun 24;101(3):1981–1993. doi: 10.1007/s11071-020-05770-9

Table 1.

Parameter estimation with the method of MCMC

Stage	Notation	Mean	Standard	Geweke	Reproduction Number	Mean	Standard
First	$β_{1}, β_{2}$	0.1238	0.0315	0.99748	$R_{01}$	1.3469	0.4225
First	m	0.1009	0.0121	0.99871	$R_{01}$	1.3469	0.4225
Second	$β_{1}^{^{'}}, β_{2}^{^{'}}$	0.3170	0.0051	0.99998	$R_{02}$	2.8349	0.2085
Second	m	0.2049	0.0220	0.99990	$R_{02}$	2.8349	0.2085
Third	$β_{1}^{^{'}}, β_{2}^{^{'}}$	0.0631	0.0013	0.99898	$R_{03}$	0.4312	0.0038
Third	m	0.3535	0.0155	0.99664	$R_{03}$	0.4312	0.0038