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. 2020 Jun 24;6(26):eaba1981. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aba1981

Table 2. ECS and TCR values (°C) calculated from CMIP6 model data available on the ESGF in March 2020.

Model numbers denote individual models (in second column) in Figs. 1, 2, and 4. Model acronyms are defined at https://wcrp-cmip.github.io/CMIP6_CVs/docs/CMIP6_source_id.html, and modeling groups at https://wcrp-cmip.github.io/CMIP6_CVs/docs/CMIP6_source_id.html.

CMIP6 model
number
Model ECS TCR
30 ACCESS-CM2 4.7 2.1
31 ACCESS-ESM1-5 3.9 2.0
32 AWI-CM-1-1-MR 3.2 2.0
33 BCC-CSM2-MR 3.0 1.7
34 BCC-ESM1 3.3 1.8
35 CAMS-CSM1-0 2.3 1.7
36 CESM2 5.2 2.0
37 CESM2-WACCM 4.8 2.0
38 CNRM-CM6-1 4.8 2.1
39 CNRM-CM6-1-HR 4.3 2.5
40 CNRM-ESM2-1 4.8 1.9
41 CanESM5 5.6 2.7
42 E3SM-1-0 5.3 3.0
43 EC-Earth3 4.3
44 EC-Earth3-Veg 4.3 2.6
45 FGOALS-f3-L 3.0 2.1
46 GFDL-CM4 3.9 2.1
47 GFDL-ESM4 2.6 1.6
48 GISS-E2-1-G 2.7 1.8
49 GISS-E2-1-H 3.1 1.9
50 GISS-E2-2-G 2.4 1.7
51 HadGEM3-GC31-LL 5.6 2.6
52 HadGEM3-GC31-MM 5.4 2.6
53 IITM-ESM 1.7
54 INM-CM4-8 1.8 1.3
55 INM-CM5-0 1.9
56 IPSL-CM6A-LR 4.6 2.3
57 KACE-1-0-G 4.5 1.4
58 MCM-UA-1-0 3.7 1.9
59 MIROC-ES2L 2.7 1.6
60 MIROC6 2.6 1.6
61 MPI-ESM1-2-HR 3.0 1.7
62 MPI-ESM1-2-LR 3.0 1.8
63 MRI-ESM2-0 3.2 1.6
64 NESM3 4.7 2.7
65 NorCPM1 1.6
66 NorESM2-LM 2.5 1.5
67 SAM0-UNICON 3.7 2.3
68 UKESM1-0-LL 5.3 2.8
Multimodel mean 3.7 2.0
SD 1.1 0.4