Table 3.
Summary statistics for the spatio-temporal log-Cox Gaussian process used to model the dengue cases. In parenthesis the 95% credible interval are reported for each parameter.
| Parameter | Model 1: Intercept only | Model 2: Intercept and Abundance | Model 3: Intercept and IGR | Model 4: Intercept, Abundance and IGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| βintercept | 1.6 10−8 (1 10−8, 2.2 10−8) | 1.8 10−8 (9 10−9, 3.1 10−8) | 1.6 10−8 (1 10−8, 2.6 10−8) | 1.8 10−8 (9 10−9, 3 10−8) |
| βAbundance | – | 0.84 (0.18,1.9) | – | 0.99 (0.09,3.9) |
| βIGR | – | – | 0.91 (0.33,1.8) | 1.30 (0.25,3.9) |
| γ | 1.9 (1.3,2.5) | 1.9 (1.4,2.5) | 1.9 (1.4,2.5) | 1.9 (1.4,2.6) |
| Ω | 138 (78,215) | 136 (82,210) | 135 (78,209) | 136 (79,214) |
| Ρ | 8.1 (4.5,20) | 7.9 (4.5,19) | 7.8 (4.5,18) | 7.6 (4.5,16) |
| WAIC | 504.43 | 505.34 | 503.88 | 508.12 |
| DIC | 1018.33 | 1013.58 | 976.10 | 958.24 |