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. 2020 Jun 23;64(7):e02236-19. doi: 10.1128/AAC.02236-19

TABLE 2.

Final prediction model covariatesa

Category Parameter
Value for:
Cefazolin (0.63935) Cefepime (1.17828) Ceftriaxone (0.94419) Ciprofloxacin (0.43047) Piperacillin-tazobactam (2.18690)
Demographics Age 0.00019 0.01168
Age squared 0.00010 0.00007
Age cubed −0.00001 −0.00001 −0.00001 −0.00001
Sex: maleb −0.71695 −0.45621 −0.70641 −0.53074 −0.16150
History of smokingb 0.12988 0.08713
Race: blackb 0.30388 0.36458 0.36887 0.23907 0.01110
Race: otherb 0.29024 0.09832 0.22255 0.28785 −0.36885
Medical history Admission from nursing homeb −0.29785 −0.18948 −0.29092 −0.10103 −0.27365
1 ED visitb ,c 0.30499 0.27674 0.18183 0.02006 0.29449
≥2 ED visitsb ,c 0.01528 0.44160
1 ED to inpatientb ,c −0.08453 −0.22877 −0.08165 −0.05306 −0.29808
≥2 ED to inpatientb ,c −0.12733 −0.16352 −0.00564
1 inpatient visitb ,c −0.22318 −0.20348 −0.21192 −0.21073
≥2 inpatient visitsb ,c 0.00571 −0.11337
ICU location in first 24 hoursb 0.07366 0.11776 0.15119
Elixhauser score −0.01383 −0.01102 −0.01155 −0.00357 −0.00658
Antimicrobials in past 30 days Sulfonamide −0.25820 −0.21812 −0.17295 −0.05543 −0.06770
Quinolone −0.51539 −0.65805 −0.53185 −1.29377 −0.61818
Cephalosporin −0.59423 −0.25652 −0.60599 −0.43066
Penicillin −0.11334 0.06402 −0.14594 −0.32084
Carbapenem −0.32128 −0.54253 −0.44776 −0.45540
Antimicrobials in past 30–90 days Sulfonamide −0.19242 −0.18646 −0.19487 −0.14391 −0.19486
Quinolone −0.29001 −0.31754 −0.32479 −0.44247 −0.01208
Cephalosporin −0.12215 −0.11174 0.00980
Penicillin −0.08546 −0.05267 −0.30380
Carbapenem −0.14987 −0.30757 −0.16412
Resistant organisms in past 6 months MDRO −0.76878 −0.51511 −0.80317 −0.51611 −0.66253
MRSA 0.58438 0.44875 0.63166 0.45980
VRE 0.16156 0.04077 −0.00365
CephR Klebsiella −0.85975
ESBL 0.57457 0.22556
MDR Acinetobacter 0.67298 0.46587 0.56299
Resistant organisms in past 6–12 months MDRO −0.97448 −0.61115 −1.02161 −0.10190 −1.09366
MRSA 1.13502 0.53233 1.04338 1.22636
VRE 0.17833 0.40149 −0.05931 0.52085
Antibiotic resistance in past 6 months Sulfonamide 0.25044 0.37538 0.31095 0.10899
Quinolone −0.31482 −0.17482 −0.34883 −1.49533 −0.40215
Cephalosporin −0.81174 −0.53988 −0.56341 −0.47589
Penicillin 0.35729 0.33486 0.40173 0.38544 0.23992
Carbapenem −0.05393 0.02238 −0.32193 0.07712
Documented medication allergy Penicillin −0.04274 −0.05982 −0.07149 −0.20527
Quinolone −0.56013 −0.28042 −0.43616
Sulfonamide −0.06064 0.01466 0.17357
Cephalosporin −0.14100 0.00746 −0.09309 −0.11350 −0.16364
Glycopeptide −0.24265 −0.37125 −0.27998 −0.13965
Aminoglycoside 0.25439 0.28761
Metronidazole 0.52051 0.32151 0.28773 0.06804
Carbapenem −1.22837
Final model characteristics Goodness of fit (P value) 0.25 0.09 0.22 0.11 0.20
AUC (95% CI): training/test 71.5 (70.1–72.9) 68.3 (66.8–69.8) 71.3 (69.9–72.7) 69.5 (68.1–71.0) 69.9 (68.7–72.5)
AUC (95% CI): validation 69.1 (66.3–72.1) 65.0 (61.8–68.1) 68.8 (65.9–71.7) 65.3 (62.3–68.3) 68.2 (64.1–72.4)
a

Values in parentheses after the drug names are intercepts. Shading indicates covariates included in the model; bold indicates covariates associated with a decrease in the odds of susceptibility to the antibiotic. ED, emergency department; ICU, intensive care unit; VRE, vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus; ESBL, extended-spectrum beta-lactamase; CephR, cephalosporin resistant.

b

Reference groups: female sex, nonsmoker, white race, no admission from nursing home, no ED visits, no ED visits to inpatient visits, no inpatient visits, non-ICU stay.

c

In the past 90 days.