Table 4.
Estimates of the number of deaths due to foodborne disease in the UK per annum
| Year(s): | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | ||||
| 2018 | 2018 | Average 2001–12 scaled up to 2018 by population | 2018 | |||||
| Pathogen | Enhanced surveillance | Proportion deaths in outbreaks | Death certificate plus expert opinion | HES proportion of discharges due to death | ||||
| Central | 95% CrI | Central | 95% CrI | Central | 95% CrI | Central | 95% CrI | |
| Bacteria | ||||||||
| Campylobacter | – | – | 169 | (20 to 719) | 7 | (3 to 12) | 21 | (8 to 47) |
| Clostridium perfringens | – | – | 25 | (1 to 163) | 0 | (0 to 1) | 110 | (19 to 2324) |
| Escherichia coli O157 | 1 | (1 to 1) | 39 | (2 to 650) | – | – | – | – |
| Listeria monocytogenes | 26 | (24 to 28) | 30 | (16 to 49) | 21 | (17 to 25) | 20 | (7 to 28) |
| Salmonella | – | – | 145 | (27 to 757) | 22 | (20 to 24) | 33 | (7 to 159) |
| Shigella | – | – | 4 | (0 to 45) | 0 | (0 to 0) | 0 | (0 to 0) |
| Protozoa | ||||||||
| Cryptosporidium | – | – | 0 | (0 to 0) | 0 | (0 to 0) | 0 | (0 to 3) |
| Giardia | – | – | 0 | (0 to 0) | 0 | (0 to 1) | 0 | (0 to 1) |
| Viruses | ||||||||
| Adenovirus | – | – | 0 | (0 to 0) | – | – | 0 | (0 to 2) |
| Norovirus | – | – | 445 | (236 to 751) | 4 | (3 to 6) | 56 | (32 to 92) |
| Rotavirus | – | – | 0 | (0 to 0) | 0 | (0 to 0) | 0 | (0 to 0) |
CrI, credible interval; HES, hospital episode statistics.