Table 4.
Zero-inflated negative binomial regression results for COVID-19 mortality in inner São Paulo State municipalities, as of 18 April 2020
| Univariate analysis | Multivariable analysis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predictors | HR (95% CI) | P | HR (95% CI) | P |
| Classification of municipalities | ||||
| Regional centres | 1.00 (reference) | – | 1.00 (reference) | – |
| Municipalities with major connections | 0.53 (0.30–0.94) | 0.03 | 0.53 (0.29–0.99) | 0.047 |
| Municipalities with minor connections | 0.51 (0.29–0.88) | 0.02 | 0.31 (0.17–0.55) | <0.001 |
| Rural municipalities | 0.29 (0.16–0.56) | <0.001 | 0.16 (0.08–0.32) | <0.001 |
| Demographic density (for 100/km2 increase) | 1.06 (1.03–1.09) | <0.001 | 1.07 (1.03–1.11) | <0.001 |
| Proportion of persons living in urban areas | 1.03 (1.01–1.05) | <0.002 | 1.00 (0.97–1.02) | 0.95 |
| HDI (for 10% increase) | 1.71 (1.20–2.11) | 0.002 | 0.60 (0.46–0.73) | <0.001 |
| Gini index for inequalities in income (for 10% increase) | 1.62 (1.33–1.91) | <0.001 | 1.42 (0.90–1.83) | 0.06 |
| Distance from the State Capital (for 100 km increase) | 0.88 (0.81–0.96) | <0.001 | 0.90 (0.90–1.10) | 0.97 |
IRR, incidence rate ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Note: Urbanisation rate is the measure of proportion of inhabitants living in urban area.