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. 2020 Jun 30;139:110027. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110027

Table A.2.

Performance measures for each evaluated model for American states.

Country State Forecasting
Horizon
Criterion Model
BRNN CUBIST KNN QRF SVR VMD–BRNN VMD–CUBIST VMD–KNN VMD–QRF VMD–SVR
USA CA ODA sMAPE 0.56% 0.90% 26.37% 19.05% 1.80% 2.19% 0.80% 24.23% 11.44% 3.60%
RRMSE 0.73% 0.96% 31.31% 22.12% 1.96% 2.63% 1.07% 28.42% 12.87% 3.76%
TDA sMAPE 0.66% 1.10% 28.87% 19.05% 2.40% 4.66% 0.69% 25.63% 13.07% 6.11%
RRMSE 0.78% 1.22% 35.11% 22.12% 2.97% 6.08% 0.84% 30.44% 14.62% 6.74%
SDA sMAPE 0.62% 1.87% 30.85% 19.05% 2.41% 8.20% 1.21% 26.23% 15.89% 10.75%
RRMSE 0.72% 2.18% 38.04% 22.12% 3.01% 10.86% 1.40% 31.31% 18.44% 12.38%

IL ODA sMAPE 1.07% 0.54% 34.26% 25.04% 3.05% 3.16% 1.83% 43.71% 17.74% 3.80%
RRMSE 1.24% 0.92% 44.21% 31.31% 3.13% 4.43% 2.63% 60.63% 21.50% 4.49%
TDA sMAPE 1.84% 1.05% 36.63% 25.04% 4.73% 6.33% 1.55% 49.22% 19.41% 6.98%
RRMSE 2.39% 1.51% 47.86% 31.31% 5.18% 8.95% 2.07% 70.55% 23.08% 8.53%
SDA sMAPE 2.89% 2.58% 52.64% 25.04% 8.10% 11.03% 1.42% 67.54% 23.61% 12.43%
RRMSE 3.78% 3.00% 78.46% 31.31% 9.53% 15.66% 2.04% 107.77% 29.59% 16.27%

MA ODA sMAPE 1.90% 2.45% 30.79% 28.07% 3.01% 4.51% 2.65% 26.67% 17.49% 3.91%
RRMSE 2.42% 3.46% 39.30% 35.70% 3.59% 5.39% 2.69% 33.79% 21.69% 4.77%
TDA sMAPE 1.59% 3.41% 31.52% 28.07% 3.35% 8.25% 2.34% 31.47% 19.83% 7.12%
RRMSE 2.39% 5.34% 40.65% 35.70% 4.58% 10.86% 2.41% 40.87% 24.21% 8.82%
SDA sMAPE 4.38% 8.98% 32.54% 28.07% 6.92% 14.65% 3.08% 35.52% 22.66% 13.85%
RRMSE 5.33% 10.98% 42.30% 35.70% 8.18% 20.17% 3.16% 47.50% 28.56% 18.13%

NJ ODA sMAPE 0.97% 0.88% 21.41% 17.87% 0.94% 1.63% 0.99% 25.40% 9.88% 3.78%
RRMSE 1.01% 0.93% 24.93% 20.38% 1.03% 2.18% 1.32% 30.87% 10.99% 3.92%
TDA sMAPE 0.55% 1.25% 22.03% 18.20% 1.09% 3.52% 0.83% 28.62% 11.17% 6.75%
RRMSE 0.62% 1.48% 25.81% 20.82% 1.17% 4.74% 1.21% 35.63% 12.36% 7.47%
SDA sMAPE 1.02% 1.99% 23.76% 18.20% 0.94% 6.54% 0.91% 35.12% 13.20% 12.35%
RRMSE 1.27% 2.40% 28.32% 20.82% 1.14% 8.95% 1.23% 45.47% 15.09% 14.70%

NY ODA sMAPE 3.26% 1.26% 16.81% 12.09% 1.02% 1.46% 0.84% 18.44% 5.51% 3.27%
RRMSE 3.63% 1.43% 19.88% 13.64% 1.23% 1.64% 0.92% 23.44% 6.30% 3.38%
TDA sMAPE 5.40% 2.20% 18.23% 12.09% 0.92% 2.76% 1.10% 21.34% 6.39% 5.85%
RRMSE 6.43% 2.69% 22.36% 13.64% 1.27% 3.31% 1.38% 27.91% 7.28% 6.62%
SDA sMAPE 7.64% 4.54% 21.02% 12.09% 1.75% 5.23% 3.05% 24.06% 7.96% 10.97%
RRMSE 9.37% 5.30% 26.69% 13.64% 2.05% 6.65% 3.65% 31.38% 9.32% 12.93%