Table 4.
Comparison of models in predicting the 30-day mortality of SAE
Predictive Model | AUROC | P value | IDI | P value | Brier index | P value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Training set | Nomogram | 0.763 [0.736–0.791] | 0.139 [0.129–0.150] | ||||
SOFA | 0.635 [0.602–0.667] | < 0.001 | 0.126[0.106–0.145] | < 0.001 | 0.161 [0.150–0.171] | < 0.001 | |
LODS | 0.648 [0.617–0.679] | < 0.001 | 0.119[0.098–0.140] | < 0.001 | 0.159 [0.149–0.170] | < 0.001 | |
Validation set | Nomogram | 0.753 [0.713–0.794] | 0.144 [0.128–0.159] | ||||
SOFA | 0.666 [0.619–0.713] | < 0.001 | 0.082[0.054–0.110] | < 0.001 | 0.157 [0.141–0.174] | < 0.001 | |
LODS | 0.681 [0.635–0.727] | < 0.001 | 0.071[0.041–0.101] | < 0.001 | 0.155 [0.139–0.172] | < 0.001 |
The P value was drew by comparing the results of nomogram with SOFA or LODS
SOFA Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, AUROC area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, IDI integrated discrimination improvement