Table 2. The Mathematically Derived Probability of a Successful Replication Attempt of an Original Study Randomly Selected from a Given Range of p-values from the 15,471 "Published" Simulation Studies.

p-value original study	p ≤ 0.01	0.01 < p ≤ 0.02	0.02 < p ≤ 0.03	0.03 < p ≤ 0.04	0.04 < p ≤ 0.05
Probability of successful replication	0.67	0.57	0.52	0.50	0.48