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. 2020 Jun 15;117(26):14906–14910. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1921965117

Table 1.

Effects of CAP, RTC, and SYG laws on change in state firearm death rates in the sixth year after implementation

Outcome/law Posterior median IRR IRR, 80% CI lower bound IRR, 80% CI upper bound Posterior probability of reduced deaths
Firearm deaths
 CAP 0.94 0.89 0.98 0.97
 RTC 1.03 1.00 1.07 0.13
 SYG 1.03 0.98 1.07 0.23
 Restrictive 0.89 0.82 0.95 0.98
Firearm suicides
 CAP 0.95 0.91 1.00 0.90
 RTC 1.03 1.00 1.07 0.10
 SYG 1.01 0.97 1.06 0.33
 Restrictive 0.91 0.84 0.98 0.95
Firearm homicides
 CAP 0.93 0.86 1.00 0.91
 RTC 1.03 0.98 1.09 0.23
 SYG 1.05 0.98 1.13 0.18
 Restrictive 0.85 0.76 0.96 0.95

The restrictive law refers to the effect of a restrictive combination of all three laws, relative to a permissive combination.