Table 1.
Outcome/law | Posterior median IRR | IRR, 80% CI lower bound | IRR, 80% CI upper bound | Posterior probability of reduced deaths |
Firearm deaths | ||||
CAP | 0.94 | 0.89 | 0.98 | 0.97 |
RTC | 1.03 | 1.00 | 1.07 | 0.13 |
SYG | 1.03 | 0.98 | 1.07 | 0.23 |
Restrictive | 0.89 | 0.82 | 0.95 | 0.98 |
Firearm suicides | ||||
CAP | 0.95 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.90 |
RTC | 1.03 | 1.00 | 1.07 | 0.10 |
SYG | 1.01 | 0.97 | 1.06 | 0.33 |
Restrictive | 0.91 | 0.84 | 0.98 | 0.95 |
Firearm homicides | ||||
CAP | 0.93 | 0.86 | 1.00 | 0.91 |
RTC | 1.03 | 0.98 | 1.09 | 0.23 |
SYG | 1.05 | 0.98 | 1.13 | 0.18 |
Restrictive | 0.85 | 0.76 | 0.96 | 0.95 |
The restrictive law refers to the effect of a restrictive combination of all three laws, relative to a permissive combination.