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. 2020 Jul 3;10:10979. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-67629-8

Table 3.

The number of actual and predicted outcomes of prediction models, according to the score of the reference model.

Reference model (score) Positive pressure ventilation use
n (%)
Reference model Lasso regression Elastic net regression Random forest Gradient boosted tree
Correctly identified outcome
n (%)
Predicted outcome
n
Correctly identified outcome
n (%)
Predicted outcome
n
Correctly identified outcome
n (%)
Predicted outcome
n
Correctly identified outcome
n (%)
Predicted outcome
n
Correctly identified outcome
n (%)
Predicted outcome
n
0: (n = 41) 1 (2.4) 0 6 0 7 0 8 1 9 0 8
1: (n = 64) 3 (4.7) 1 15 3 11 2 14 2 11 2 11
2: (n = 359) 13 (3.6) 9 156 12 80 11 106 11 78 12 79
3: (n = 270) 12 (4.4) 7 109 10 52 12 65 10 58 11 56
4: (n = 122) 3 (0.8) 2 46 1 20 1 30 2 41 1 24
5: (n = 58) 8 (13.8) 3 22 7 21 8 24 7 31 8 24
6: (n = 15) 0 (0.0) 0 3 0 6 0 6 0 8 0 6
7: (n = 41) 5 (12.5) 3 22 3 22 5 30 4 28 5 29
8: (n = 24) 4 (16.7) 2 8 4 12 4 14 4 17 4 15
9: (n = 11) 0 (0.0) 0 2 0 4 0 4 0 7 0 5
10: (n = 8) 5 (62.5) 3 3 5 7 5 7 5 8 5 7
11: (n = 3) 1 (33.3) 0 2 1 2 1 3 1 3 1 2
12: (n = 0) 0 (0)
Overall (n = 1,016) 55 (5.4) 30 (55) 394 46 (84) 244 49 (89) 311 47 (85) 299 49 (89) 266
Reference model (Score) Intensive treatment
n (%)
Reference model Lasso regression Elastic net regression Random forest Gradient boosted tree
Correctly identified outcome
n (%)
Predicted outcome
n
Correctly identified outcome
n (%)
Predicted outcome
n
Correctly identified outcome
n (%)
Predicted outcome
n
Correctly identified outcome
n (%)
Predicted outcome
n
Correctly identified outcome
n (%)
Predicted outcome
n
0: (n = 41) 2 (4.9) 1 10 1 8 0 5 0 4 0 4
1: (n = 64) 8 (12.5) 1 11 5 17 5 11 5 12 5 9
2: (n = 359) 44 (12.2) 21 157 27 133 23 111 26 77 24 87
3: (n = 270) 36 (13.3) 18 118 28 75 28 71 23 64 28 75
4: (n = 122) 17 (13.8) 8 53 9 36 9 33 7 40 10 53
5: (n = 58) 17 (29.3) 6 26 14 30 14 30 15 28 15 29
6: (n = 15) 3 (20.0) 0 3 3 7 2 7 3 9 3 12
7: (n = 41) 19 (47.5) 15 28 19 38 19 36 18 32 18 35
8: (n = 24) 7 (29.2) 4 8 7 18 7 17 7 16 7 17
9: (n = 11) 1 (9.1) 0 3 1 10 1 9 1 6 1 7
10: (n = 8) 7 (87.5) 3 4 7 7 7 7 7 8 7 8
11: (n = 3) 2 (66.7) 0 1 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3
12: (n = 0) 0 (0)
Overall (n = 1,016) 163 (16.0) 77 (47) 422 123 (75) 382 117 (72) 340 114 (70) 299 120 (74) 339