Table 3.
Issues and gaps for fire and smoke model improvement.
Field | Process | Issues and gaps |
---|---|---|
Fire behavior and energy | Heat release | Need measurements of unit heat release per unit area along the fire perimeter; Improve vertical distribution of radiative and convective heat flux generated by the fire; Understand the relations between heat structure and multiple sub-plumes. |
Fire spread | Parameterization of lateral fire progression may underestimate the lateral fire spread, burnt area and the total buoyancy of the fie plume | |
Smoke and meteorology | Plume distribution | Plume top heights are often provided with large uncertainty, and without the vertical concentration profiles which are generally specified not resolved based on fire dynamics and local weather conditions |
Multiple sub-plumes | No routine measurements are available; Some modeling tools are in early development stage; Parameterization schemes are needed. | |
Smoldering combustion and night smoke | Bulk emission factors not dependent on the burning stage; Night-time smoke drainage modeling has many assumptions; Not evaluated for burned sites with complex topography. | |
Fire-atmosphere interactions | Need measurements of all at commensurate spatial and temporal scales to predict and validate interactions between vegetation, wind fire behavior and plume dynamics; Coupled fire-atmosphere models and air quality models. | |
Smoke-air interactions | Improve entrainment estimates; Better characterize smoke optical properties; Understand the impacts of pyro cumulus on vertical smoke distribution and fire behavior. | |
Emissions and chemistry | Pollutants with distance and time | Lack in near-event and downwind measurements of O3, PM2.5, their precursors and important chemical intermediate species. |
PM and gas speciation | PM, VOC, and nitrogen gas speciation not very well understood for different fuel types and combustion conditions. |