Table 3. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for estimated total nut intake1 and PDAC risk in EPIC.
Total nut intake | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Consumers | |||||||||
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | ||||||
15 g/day increments | Nonconsumers 0 g/day | >0–0.7 g/day Median: 0.3 g/day | >0.7–2.3 g/day Median: 1.0 g/day | >2.3–5.7 g/day Median: 3.5 g/day | >5.7 g/day Median: 11.8 g/day | Trend test p -value2 | LRT p -value3 | ||
Final model | Final model | ||||||||
N cases | 1,283 | 400 | 223 | 303 | 196 | 161 | |||
HR (95% CI)4 | 0.94 (0.84–1.07) | 1.00 (ref) | 0.92 (0.74–1.14) | 0.92 (0.77–1.09) | 0.99 (0.82–1.20) | 0.89 (0.72–1.10) | 0.70 | ||
Sensitivity analysis | Cases diagnosed ≥2 years after recruitment | ||||||||
N cases | 1,195 | 374 | 208 | 284 | 181 | 148 | |||
HR (95% CI) | 0.95 (0.84–1.08) | 1.00 (ref) | 0.93 (0.74–1.17) | 0.92 (0.77–1.10) | 0.99 (0.81–1.20) | 0.89 (0.72–1.10) | 0.75 | ||
Microscopically confirmed cases | |||||||||
N cases | 910 | 229 | 140 | 242 | 125 | 104 | |||
HR (95% CI) | 0.95 (0.66–1.38) | 1.00 (ref) | 0.72 (0.46–1.13) | 0.87 (0.65–1.15) | 0.99 (0.71–1.37) | 0.68 (0.44–1.04) | 0.28 | ||
Mediterranean diet score | |||||||||
N cases | 1,283 | 400 | 223 | 303 | 196 | 161 | |||
HR (95% CI)5 | 0.94 (0.84–1.07) | 1.00 (ref) | 0.92 (0.74–1.14) | 0.92 (0.77–1.09) | 0.99 (0.82–1.20) | 0.89 (0.72–1.10) | 0.70 | ||
Analyses of effect-measure modification | Alcohol consumption | ||||||||
Light drinkers (>0.1–4.9 g/day) | |||||||||
N cases | 373 | 111 | 99 | 75 | 53 | 35 | |||
HR (95% CI)6 | 0.72 (0.52–1.01) | 1.00 (ref) | 0.91 (0.62–1.32) | 1.10 (0.79–1.54) | 0.82 (0.57–1.19) | 0.65 (0.42–0.99) | 0.19 | 0.74 | |
Heavy drinkers (>60 g/day) | |||||||||
N cases | 71 | 26 | 4 | 24 | 7 | 10 | |||
HR (95% CI)6 | 0.79 (0.43–1.47) | 1.00 (ref) | 0.53 (0.14–1.99) | 0.76 (0.40–1.46) | 0.45 (0.17–1.19) | 0.61 (0.25–1.52) | 0.57 | ||
Diabetes | |||||||||
No | |||||||||
N cases | 1,075 | 316 | 195 | 260 | 159 | 145 | |||
HR (95% CI)7 | 0.94 (0.82–1.07) | 1.00 (ref) | 0.82 (0.65–1.04) | 0.85 (0.71–1.03) | 0.91 (0.73–1.13) | 0.89 (0.71–1.12) | 0.38 | 0.77 | |
Yes | |||||||||
N cases | 74 | 23 | 19 | 14 | 12 | 6 | |||
HR (95% CI)7 | 0.93 (0.58–1.51) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.96 (0.83–4.62) | 1.28 (0.57–2.86) | 1.35 (0.60–3.07) | 0.72 (0.26–1.99) | 0.40 | ||
Body Mass Index | |||||||||
<25 kg/m2 | |||||||||
N cases | 535 | 169 | 88 | 118 | 82 | 78 | |||
HR (95% CI)8 | 0.98 (0.82–1.16) | 1.00 (ref) | 0.80 (0.56–1.14) | 0.84 (0.65–1.10) | 0.92 (0.69–1.24) | 0.90 (0.66–1.22) | 0.66 | ||
≥25 kg/m2 | 0.34 | ||||||||
N cases | 748 | 231 | 135 | 185 | 114 | 83 | |||
HR (95% CI)8 | 0.91 (0.77–1.09) | 1.00 (ref) | 0.98 (0.74–1.31) | 0.97 (0.77–1.21) | 1.03 (0.80–1.33) | 0.87 (0.66–1.15) | 0.81 | ||
Smoking Status | |||||||||
Never smokers | |||||||||
N cases | 465 | 142 | 90 | 99 | 73 | 61 | |||
HR (95% CI)9 | 0.91 (0.73–1.14) | 1.00 (ref) | 0.91 (0.64–1.28) | 0.97 (0.72–1.30) | 0.99 (0.72–1.37) | 0.94 (0.66–1.32) | 0.98 | ||
Ever smokers10 | 0.88 | ||||||||
N cases | 783 | 244 | 128 | 197 | 120 | 94 | |||
HR (95% CI)9 | 0.89 (0.75–1.05) | 1.00 (ref) | 0.92 (0.68–1.23) | 0.88 (0.71–1.09) | 1.00 (0.78–1.27) | 0.81 (0.62–1.06) | 0.47 |
Total nut intake is the sum of the total intake of nuts and seeds.
All p -values for trend are based on the quintile medians.
All LRT p -values for effect measure modification are based on the continuous total nut intake variable.
Stratified by age at recruitment and center. Adjusted for gender, total energy intake (1,000 kcal/day), BMI (kg/m2), smoking status (never smokers, current pipe or cigar or occasional smokers, current cigarette smokers: 1–15, 16–25, or ≥26 cigarettes/day, former cigarette smokers who quit >20 years, 11–20 years or ≤10 years before recruitment), diabetes (no, yes, do not known, missing) and alcohol consumption (nondrinkers, drinkers of 0–6 g/day, >6–12 g/day, >12-24 g/day, >24–60 g/day, female drinkers with >60 g/day, male drinkers >60–96 g/day, male drinkers >96 g/day).
Final model further adjusted by the adapted relative Mediterranean diet score.
Stratified by age at recruitment and center. Adjusted for gender, total energy intake (1,000 kcal/day), BMI (kg/m2), smoking status (never smokers, current pipe or cigar or occasional smokers, current cigarette smokers: 1–15, 16–25 or ≥26 cigarettes/day, former cigarette smokers who quit >20 years, 11–20 years or ≤10 years before recruitment) and diabetes (no, yes, do not known, missing).
Stratified by age at recruitment and center. Adjusted for gender, total energy intake (1,000 kcal/day), BMI (kg/m2), smoking status (never smokers, current pipe or cigar or occasional smokers, current cigarette smokers: 1–15, 16–25 or ≥26 cigarettes/day, former cigarette smokers who quit >20 years, 11–20 years or ≤10 years before recruitment) and alcohol consumption (nondrinkers, drinkers of 0–6 g/day, >6–12 g/day, >12-24 g/day, >24–60 g/day, female drinkers with >60 g/day, male drinkers >60–96 g/day, male drinkers >96 g/day).
Stratified by age at recruitment and center. Adjusted for gender, total energy intake (1,000 kcal/day), smoking status (never smokers, current pipe or cigar or occasional smokers, current cigarette smokers: 1–15, 16–25 or ≥26 cigarettes/day, former cigarette smokers who quit >20 years, 11–20 years or ≤10 years before recruitment), diabetes (no, yes, do not known, missing) and alcohol consumption (nondrinkers, drinkers of 0–6 g/day, >6–12 g/day, >12-24 g/day, >24–60 g/day, female drinkers with >60 g/day, male drinkers >60–96 g/day, male drinkers >96 g/day).
Stratified by age at recruitment and center. Adjusted for gender, total energy intake (1,000 kcal/day), BMI (kg/m2), diabetes (no, yes, do not known, missing) and alcohol consumption (nondrinkers, drinkers of 0–6 g/day, >6–12 g/day, >12-24 g/day, >24–60 g/day, female drinkers with >60 g/day, male drinkers >60–96 g/day, male drinkers >96 g/day).
Ever smokers: former and current smokers.
Abbreviations: EPIC, European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition; HR, hazards ratio; LRT, likelihood ratio test; PDAC, pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.