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. 2020 May 4;123(1):155–160. doi: 10.1038/s41416-020-0850-6

Table 1.

Detection rate, PPV of cytology and RRs for CIN2+, in relation to age at vaccination initiation.

Cytological results Age at vaccination initiation Screened Screen positive CIN2+ Detection rate of CIN2+, % (95% CI)a PPV
n n n PPV for CIN2+, % (95% CI)b Crude RR (95% CI) Adjustedc RR (95% CI)
High-grade cytology
Unvaccinated 100,400 2110 1475 1.5 (1.4–1.5) 69.9 (67.9–71.9) Reference Reference
Vaccinated at age 17–22 years 26,892 368 239 0.9 (0.8–1.0) 64.9 (59.8–69.8) 0.93 (0.86–1.01) 0.92 (0.85–1.00)
Vaccinated at age <17 years 25,865 244 140 0.5 (0.5–0.6) 57.4 (50.9–63.7) 0.82 (0.73–0.92) 0.83 (0.74–0.93)
Low-grade cytology
Unvaccinated 100,400 12,293 2325 2.3 (2.2–2.4) 18.9 (18.2–19.6) Reference Reference
Vaccinated at age 17–22 years 26,892 2940 377 1.4 (1.3–1.5) 12.8 (11.6–14.1) 0.68 (0.61–0.75) 0.72 (0.65–0.80)
Vaccinated at age <17 years 25,865 2775 258 1.0 (0.9–1.0) 9.3 (8.2–10.4) 0.49 (0.44–0.56) 0.56 (0.49–0.63)

PPV positive predictive value, RR risk ratio, CIN2+ cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse.

aDetection rate = no. of women confirmed as CIN2+/no. of women screened × 100%.

bPPV = no. of women confirmed as CIN2+/no. of women screen positive × 100%.

cAdjusted for birth cohort.