Table 1.
Cytological results | Age at vaccination initiation | Screened | Screen positive | CIN2+ | Detection rate of CIN2+, % (95% CI)a | PPV | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
n | n | n | PPV for CIN2+, % (95% CI)b | Crude RR (95% CI) | Adjustedc RR (95% CI) | |||
High-grade cytology | ||||||||
Unvaccinated | 100,400 | 2110 | 1475 | 1.5 (1.4–1.5) | 69.9 (67.9–71.9) | Reference | Reference | |
Vaccinated at age 17–22 years | 26,892 | 368 | 239 | 0.9 (0.8–1.0) | 64.9 (59.8–69.8) | 0.93 (0.86–1.01) | 0.92 (0.85–1.00) | |
Vaccinated at age <17 years | 25,865 | 244 | 140 | 0.5 (0.5–0.6) | 57.4 (50.9–63.7) | 0.82 (0.73–0.92) | 0.83 (0.74–0.93) | |
Low-grade cytology | ||||||||
Unvaccinated | 100,400 | 12,293 | 2325 | 2.3 (2.2–2.4) | 18.9 (18.2–19.6) | Reference | Reference | |
Vaccinated at age 17–22 years | 26,892 | 2940 | 377 | 1.4 (1.3–1.5) | 12.8 (11.6–14.1) | 0.68 (0.61–0.75) | 0.72 (0.65–0.80) | |
Vaccinated at age <17 years | 25,865 | 2775 | 258 | 1.0 (0.9–1.0) | 9.3 (8.2–10.4) | 0.49 (0.44–0.56) | 0.56 (0.49–0.63) |
PPV positive predictive value, RR risk ratio, CIN2+ cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse.
aDetection rate = no. of women confirmed as CIN2+/no. of women screened × 100%.
bPPV = no. of women confirmed as CIN2+/no. of women screen positive × 100%.
cAdjusted for birth cohort.