Table 1.
Statistical model parameters for different countries obtained by regression modelling considering the data up to 15 May, 2020.
Countries | Starting date | Model parameters |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Y0 | α | β | ti | R2 | ||
India | February 15, 2020 | 3 | 483417 | 0.018357 | 145.59 | 0.9994 |
China | January 22, 2020 | 571 | 29892.41 | 0.152632 | 15.47 | 0.9937 |
Italy | February 19, 2020 | 3 | 86335.43 | 0.060355 | 42.73 | 0.9995 |
Canada | February 15, 2025 | 8 | 39323.2 | 0.043275 | 67.23 | 0.9995 |
USA | February 15, 2020 | 15 | 682228.7 | 0.049143 | 62.22 | 0.9992 |
Germany | February 15, 2021 | 25 | 64701.81 | 0.083874 | 44.59 | 0.9996 |
Japan | February 15, 2022 | 53 | 6540.975 | 0.074024 | 56.51 | 0.9956 |
Iran | February 15, 2023 | 2 | 45338.53 | 0.049268 | 42.58 | 0.9972 |
Where, Y0: Infected population at zero day; α: Cumulative infected population at inflection point; β: Shape factor; ti: Inflection time (days).