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. 2020 Jul 9;14(5):1231–1240. doi: 10.1016/j.dsx.2020.07.008

Table 1.

Statistical model parameters for different countries obtained by regression modelling considering the data up to 15 May, 2020.

Countries Starting date Model parameters
Y0 α β ti R2
India February 15, 2020 3 483417 0.018357 145.59 0.9994
China January 22, 2020 571 29892.41 0.152632 15.47 0.9937
Italy February 19, 2020 3 86335.43 0.060355 42.73 0.9995
Canada February 15, 2025 8 39323.2 0.043275 67.23 0.9995
USA February 15, 2020 15 682228.7 0.049143 62.22 0.9992
Germany February 15, 2021 25 64701.81 0.083874 44.59 0.9996
Japan February 15, 2022 53 6540.975 0.074024 56.51 0.9956
Iran February 15, 2023 2 45338.53 0.049268 42.58 0.9972

Where, Y0: Infected population at zero day; α: Cumulative infected population at inflection point; β: Shape factor; ti: Inflection time (days).