Table 2.
Model parameter | Baseline | Deterministic | Probabilistic | Source(s) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Low | High | Alpha | Beta | ||||
Costs per cycle and state | |||||||
Depressed (untreated) | 106.25 | ||||||
Pharmaceutical | 6.71 | 4.70 | 8.98 | Gamma | 0.51 | 13.26 | [79, 81] |
Outpatient | 11.75 | 9.76 | 13.92 | Gamma | 1.55 | 7.58 | [79, 81] |
Inpatient | 48.65 | 18.12 | 83.70 | Gamma | 0.11 | 434.58 | [79, 81] |
Indirect | 39.14 | 15.28 | 73.87 | Gamma | 0.09 | 425.60 | [79, 81] |
Depressed (during CBT) | 57.60 | ||||||
Pharmaceutical | 6.71 | 4.70 | 8.98 | Gamma | 0.51 | 13.26 | [79, 81] |
Outpatient | 11.75 | 9.76 | 13.92 | Gamma | 1.55 | 7.58 | [79, 81] |
Indirect | 39.14 | 15.28 | 73.87 | Gamma | 0.09 | 425.60 | [79, 81] |
Remission | 9.23 | ||||||
Pharmaceutical | 3.35 | 2.35 | 4.49 | Gamma | 0.51 | 6.63 | [79, 81] |
Outpatient | 5.88 | 4.88 | 6.96 | Gamma | 1.55 | 3.79 | [79, 81] |
Treatment costs | |||||||
FCBT (total) | 1303.22 | ||||||
ICBT (total) | 736.90 | ||||||
First appointment (to week 1) | 44.33 | [82] | |||||
Evaluation sessions (n = 3) | 196.17 | 130.78 | 261.56 | [82] | |||
Software (ICBT only) | 50.00 | 25.00 | 100.00 | [28, 35] | |||
FCBT (per week) | 88.56 | [83] | |||||
ICBT (per week) | 37.20 | 7.08 | 67.31 | Gamma | 1.53 | 24.38 | [68, 83] |
QoL by state | |||||||
Remission | 0.85 | 0.72 | 0.98 | Beta | 54,640 | 9642 | [77] |
Depressed (untreated) | 0.29 | ||||||
Mild | 0.45 | 0.23 | 0.67 | Beta | 1996 | 2440 | [77] |
Moderate | 0.33 | 0.09 | 0.57 | Beta | 3804 | 7723 | [77] |
Severe | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.36 | Beta | 344 | 1949 | [77] |
Depressed (during CBT) | 0.47 | ||||||
Mild | 0.74 | 0.55 | 0.93 | Beta | 4588 | 1612 | [77] |
Moderate | 0.44 | 0.17 | 0.71 | Beta | 3529 | 4491 | [77] |
Severe | 0.30 | 0.03 | 0.57 | Beta | 415 | 967 | [77] |
Death | 0.00 | ||||||
Discount rate | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 | [49] | |||
Transition probabilities | |||||||
FCBT → REM | 0.6090 | 0.5311 | 0.6870 | Beta | 91.13 | 58.50 | [39–45, 60–62] |
ICBT → REM | 0.5174 | 0.3878 | 0.6470 | Beta | 29.04 | 27.09 | [63–69] |
FCBT → Drop out | 0.0145 | 0.0054 | 0.0236 | Beta | 9.64 | 655.64 | [39–45, 60–62] |
ICBT → Drop out | 0.0201 | 0.0132 | 0.0270 | Beta | 31.77 | 1546.96 | [63–69] |
DPR → sp. REM | 0.0123 | 0.0018 | 0.0227 | Beta | 5.25 | 422.56 | [42, 63–67, 71, 72] |
REM → DPR | 0.0064 | − 0.0035 | 0.0164 | Beta | 1.59 | 245.61 | [39–47] |
Sp. REM → DPR | 0.0202 | − 0.0200 | 0.0604 | Beta | 0.93 | 45.07 | [48] |
All-cause death | 3.29E−05 | [73, 74] |
DPR depressed, Drop-out treatment discontinuation, FCBT face-to-face cognitive behavioral therapy, ICBT internet-based cognitive behavioral therapy, QoL quality of life, REM remission, sp. REM spontaneous remission