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Calculated positions of the exact strategies Bayesian update strategy (BUS), combined evidence strategy (CES), single evidence strategy (SES), and a teachers’ actual judgment J for two task–response configurations. The circles define areas of similar likelihoods in 10% percentile steps. On the left hand side, judgment J has highest likelihood for BUS; on the right hand side, it can be regarded as evidence for SES, but also for CES and less for BUS.
