TABLE 1.
Processed information |
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Strategy types, variants/denotations | Likelihood/positive-when-true rate | Likelihoods of alternatives/positive-when-positive rate | Prior probabilities/base rate | |
Prior-only strategy (POS) | Conservatism (Edwards, 1968; Zhu and Gigerenzer, 2006); base-rate only (Gigerenzer and Hoffrage, 1995) | X | ||
Single evidence strategies (SES) | Representative thinking (Zhu and Gigerenzer, 2006); Fisherian (Gigerenzer and Hoffrage, 1995); inverse fallacy (Villejoubert and Mandel, 2002) | X | ||
Combined evidence strategies (CES) | Evidence only (Zhu and Gigerenzer, 2006); likelihood subtraction (Gigerenzer and Hoffrage, 1995) | X | X | |
Bayesian update strategy (BUS) | Bayesian update (correct application of the Bayes’ rule) | X | X | X |