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Pattern of most likely response (evidence E) of each task under the condition of a student’s misconception (hypothesis H).
| Hypothesis | Decimal comparing misconceptions | Task 1: 4.8 > 4.63 | Task 2: 3.7 > 3.02 | Task 3: 3.49 > 3.4 |
| H1 | Whole-number misconception (WN) | Wrong | Right | Right |
| H2 | Ignore-decimal-point misconception (ID) | Wrong | Wrong | Right |
| H3 | Shorter-is-larger misconception (SL) | Right | Right | Wrong |
The likelihood of the evidence indicated in the table isP(E|H) = 0.8.
