Table 1. Description of expected biomarker levels found in individuals using an understanding of disease dynamics in a system based on the more traditional (CANONICAL) framework and expanding that framework to include greater complexities and more ambiguous presentations (AMBIGUOUS).
Presentation | Antibody Titer | Clinical Disease | Pathogen Presence | Interpretation |
---|---|---|---|---|
CANONICAL | ||||
Unexposed/Susceptible (S) | Negative | Absent | No | Never exposed |
Exposed (E) | Negative | Absent/Mild | Yes | Exposed, infected but not yet infectious |
Infected/Infectious (I) | Positive | Severe | Yes | Recent infection, infectious |
Past Exposure/Recovered (R) | Positive OR Negative | Absent | No | Recovered |
AMBIGUOUS | ||||
a | High | Absent | Yes | Subclinical infection OR Delay in clinical manifestation relative to infection and immune response (antibody titer) OR Recent infection with rapid resolution of clinical disease |
b | High | Absent | No | Recently cleared infection with resolution of clinical disease. |
c | Very High | Absent | No | Re-exposure with boosting |
d | Low to Medium | Moderate to Severe | No | Past (cleared) infection with residual antibodies and persistent clinical compromise despite clearance of pathogen. OR Past (cleared) infection with residual antibodies and disease from different etiology. |
e | Absent | Moderate to Severe | No | As in d above, but with no residual antibodies. |
f | Absent | Moderate to Severe | Yes | Clinical infection, but early stage so no detectable immune response (yet). |
g | Low to Medium | Absent | Yes | Chronic subclinical infection. OR Early infection prior to maximum immune response. OR Individual heterogeneity in maximum immune response. |
h | Absent | Absent | Yes | As in g above, but with no antibodies detected |