Table 2.
Diagnostic performance of new biomarker panel.
Marker | Training and Test Set | Validation Set | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AUC | Accuracy (%) | Specificity (%) | Sensitivity (%) | AUC | Accuracy (%) | Specificity (%) | Sensitivity (%) | |
RF | ||||||||
Panel | 0.992 | 95 | 95 | 96 | 0.993 | 95 | 96 | 93 |
CA19-9 + CEA | 0.924 | 90 | 95 | 76 | 0.960 | 92 | 94 | 83 |
CA19-9 | 0.921 | 90 | 95 | 74 | 0.960 | 90 | 94 | 78 |
CEA | 0.666 | 77 | 95 | 20 | 0.797 | 78 | 95 | 25 |
GLM | ||||||||
Panel | 0.983 | 94 | 95 | 92 | 0.983 | 94 | 95 | 92 |
CA19-9 + CEA | 0.852 | 87 | 95 | 62 | 0.928 | 91 | 94 | 80 |
CA19-9 | 0.848 | 88 | 95 | 66 | 0.923 | 92 | 94 | 83 |
CEA | 0.732 | 78 | 95 | 24 | 0.814 | 80 | 96 | 28 |
GLM + RF | ||||||||
Panel | 0.984 | 94 | 95 | 92 | 0.986 | 95 | 96 | 92 |
CA19-9 + CEA | 0.934 | 91 | 95 | 78 | 0.962 | 91 | 93 | 87 |
CA19-9 | 0.933 | 90 | 95 | 75 | 0.964 | 90 | 94 | 80 |
CEA | 0.732 | 78 | 95 | 24 | 0.814 | 80 | 96 | 28 |
RIDGE | ||||||||
Panel | 0.987 | 95 | 95 | 93 | 0.985 | 95 | 96 | 92 |
CA19-9 + CEA | 0.852 | 87 | 95 | 62 | 0.928 | 91 | 94 | 80 |
CA19-9 | 0.848 | 88 | 95 | 67 | 0.924 | 92 | 94 | 83 |
CEA | 0.732 | 78 | 95 | 24 | 0.816 | 80 | 96 | 28 |
SVM | ||||||||
Panel | 0.990 | 95 | 95 | 95 | 0.991 | 97 | 98 | 92 |
CA19-9 + CEA | 0.900 | 89 | 95 | 71 | 0.964 | 92 | 97 | 77 |
CA19-9 | 0.912 | 88 | 95 | 68 | 0.967 | 92 | 96 | 77 |
CEA | 0.627 | 78 | 95 | 25 | 0.692 | 78 | 95 | 27 |
AUC, area under the curve; RF, random forest; CA19-9, carbohydrate antigen 19-9; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; GLM, generalized linear model; SVM, support vector machine.