TABLE 6.

Results—regional breakdown of adoption area.

Technology	Adoption area after 25 years
	Africa		LAC		Asia/Pacific		ALL
	(’000 ha)	Share (%)	(’000 ha)	Share (%)	(’000 ha)	Share (%)	(’000 ha)
ESEC—Improved exclusion, surveillance, eradication, and containment
Scenario 1*	174	43	35	9	194	48	404
Scenario 2**	157	43	30	8	175	48	363
Scenario 3***	133	44	32	11	135	45	300
ICDM—Integrated crop and disease management
Expert est. adoption scenario	6	2	21	6	317	92	344
50% reduced adoption scenario	3	2	8	5	158	93	170
CBRC—Conventional breeding of FWB resistant banana cultivars
Expert est. adoption scenario	201	34	18	3	373	63	593
50% reduced adoption scenario	101	34	9	3	187	63	297
GMRC—Genetically modified FWB resistant banana cultivars
Expert est. adoption scenario	18	14	3	2	106	83	127
50% reduced adoption scenario	9	14	2	2	53	83	63

The adoption area of ESEC represents the area after 25 years where losses could be avoided due to the execution of the quarantine and surveillance measures at a national level *Doubled arrival time and 50% reduced increase of spread rate (12.50%) once Foc reaches the country as compared to a scenario without intervention; **Arrival time as in Scenario 1 minus 5 years; 50% reduced increase of spread rate (12.50%) once Foc reaches the country; ***Arrival time as in Scenario 1 minus 5 years; 25% reduced increase of spread rate (18.75%) once Foc reaches the country.