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Prior distributions for time-varying effective reproduction number R(t) of constant, hyperbolic tangent, and Gaussian random walk type.
| R(t) … constant | |
|---|---|
| Parameter | Distribution |
| R0 | Normal(2.5,2) |
| R(t) … hyperbolic tangent | |
| Parameter | Distribution |
| R0 | Normal(2.5,2) |
| Rt | Normal(2.5,2) |
| t* | Normal(10,10) |
| T | LogNormal(log(3),1.5) |
| R(t) … Gaussian random walk | |
| Parameter | Distribution |
| R(t) | GRW(μ,τ1/(1.0−s)) |
| μ | Normal(0,2) |
| τ1 | Exponential(1/2) |
| s | Uniform(0,1) |
