Table 4.
Diagnostic values when the sensitivity is controlled at 0.6, or 0.8 for test positivity or all-cause mortality with test-confirmed COVID-19
| Model | AUC | Threshold | SEN | SPEC | PPV | NPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Test positivity | ||||||
| M1 | 0.601 | 0.00247 | 0.804 | 0.292 | 0.00379 | 0.99775 |
| M1 | 0.601 | 0.00320 | 0.602 | 0.550 | 0.00447 | 0.99758 |
| M2 | 0.626 | 0.00242 | 0.805 | 0.339 | 0.00407 | 0.99808 |
| M2 | 0.626 | 0.00321 | 0.603 | 0.581 | 0.00480 | 0.99772 |
| M3 | 0.663 | 0.00228 | 0.806 | 0.360 | 0.00420 | 0.99820 |
| M3 | 0.663 | 0.00308 | 0.606 | 0.641 | 0.00562 | 0.99794 |
| M4 | 0.669 | 0.00227 | 0.805 | 0.369 | 0.00426 | 0.99824 |
| M4 | 0.669 | 0.00314 | 0.603 | 0.652 | 0.00578 | 0.99796 |
| All-cause mortality with test-confirmed COVID-19 | ||||||
| M1 | 0.755 | 0.00029 | 0.805 | 0.525 | 0.00081 | 0.99982 |
| M1 | 0.755 | 0.00065 | 0.610 | 0.772 | 0.00127 | 0.99976 |
| M2 | 0.781 | 0.00035 | 0.805 | 0.622 | 0.00101 | 0.99985 |
| M2 | 0.781 | 0.00072 | 0.604 | 0.813 | 0.00154 | 0.99977 |
| M3 | 0.796 | 0.00029 | 0.817 | 0.609 | 0.00099 | 0.99986 |
| M3 | 0.796 | 0.00062 | 0.616 | 0.811 | 0.00155 | 0.99977 |
| M4 | 0.803 | 0.00029 | 0.805 | 0.621 | 0.00101 | 0.99985 |
| M4 | 0.803 | 0.00059 | 0.610 | 0.803 | 0.00147 | 0.99977 |
M1: current chronological age; M2: current chronological age + PhenoAgeAccel at baseline; M3: current chronological age + pre-existing diseases or conditions; M4: current chronological age + pre-existing diseases or conditions + PhenoAgeAccel at baseline; Threshold: predicted probability threshold; SEN: sensitivity; SPEC: specificity; PPV: Positive Predictive Value; NPV: Negative Predictive Value