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[Preprint]. 2020 Jul 11:2020.07.10.20147777. [Version 1] doi: 10.1101/2020.07.10.20147777

Table 4.

Diagnostic values when the sensitivity is controlled at 0.6, or 0.8 for test positivity or all-cause mortality with test-confirmed COVID-19

Model AUC Threshold SEN SPEC PPV NPV

Test positivity

M1 0.601 0.00247 0.804 0.292 0.00379 0.99775
M1 0.601 0.00320 0.602 0.550 0.00447 0.99758

M2 0.626 0.00242 0.805 0.339 0.00407 0.99808
M2 0.626 0.00321 0.603 0.581 0.00480 0.99772

M3 0.663 0.00228 0.806 0.360 0.00420 0.99820
M3 0.663 0.00308 0.606 0.641 0.00562 0.99794

M4 0.669 0.00227 0.805 0.369 0.00426 0.99824
M4 0.669 0.00314 0.603 0.652 0.00578 0.99796

All-cause mortality with test-confirmed COVID-19

M1 0.755 0.00029 0.805 0.525 0.00081 0.99982
M1 0.755 0.00065 0.610 0.772 0.00127 0.99976

M2 0.781 0.00035 0.805 0.622 0.00101 0.99985
M2 0.781 0.00072 0.604 0.813 0.00154 0.99977

M3 0.796 0.00029 0.817 0.609 0.00099 0.99986
M3 0.796 0.00062 0.616 0.811 0.00155 0.99977

M4 0.803 0.00029 0.805 0.621 0.00101 0.99985
M4 0.803 0.00059 0.610 0.803 0.00147 0.99977

M1: current chronological age; M2: current chronological age + PhenoAgeAccel at baseline; M3: current chronological age + pre-existing diseases or conditions; M4: current chronological age + pre-existing diseases or conditions + PhenoAgeAccel at baseline; Threshold: predicted probability threshold; SEN: sensitivity; SPEC: specificity; PPV: Positive Predictive Value; NPV: Negative Predictive Value