TABLE 1.
Estimation of incubation distribution in simulation
(a) Gamma incubation ; , | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Proposed method | Qin's method | IC method | ||||||||
π | m | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) |
0 | 600 | 4.43 | 0.76 | 0.11 | 4.47 | 0.76 | 0.10 | 9.79 | 1.07 | 0 |
(1.22) | (0.14) | (0.14) | (1.13) | (0.13) | (0.12) | (1.24) | (0.14) | (0) | ||
1200 | 4.47 | 0.76 | 0.09 | 4.49 | 0.76 | 0.08 | 9.72 | 1.06 | 0 | |
(0.94) | (0.10) | (0.11) | (0.89) | (0.10) | (0.09) | (0.88) | (0.10) | (0) | ||
1800 | 4.55 | 0.77 | 0.07 | 4.54 | 0.76 | 0.07 | 9.70 | 1.06 | 0 | |
(0.77) | (0.08) | (0.09) | (0.75) | (0.08) | (0.08) | (0.82) | (0.08) | (0) | ||
0.2 | 600 | 5.36 | 0.83 | 0.20 | 5.37 | 0.83 | 0.19 | 9.61 | 1.00 | 0 |
(1.64) | (0.17) | (0.15) | (1.62) | (0.17) | (0.14) | (1.21) | (0.13) | (0) | ||
1200 | 5.33 | 0.83 | 0.19 | 5.33 | 0.82 | 0.18 | 9.51 | 0.99 | 0 | |
(1.28) | (0.13) | (0.11) | (1.29) | (0.13) | (0.11) | (0.83) | (0.09) | (0) | ||
1800 | 5.25 | 0.82 | 0.19 | 5.25 | 0.82 | 0.19 | 9.49 | 0.99 | 0 | |
(1.08) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (1.10) | (0.11) | (0.10) | (0.67) | (0.07) | (0) |
(b) Weibull incubation ; , | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Proposed method | Qin's method | IC method | ||||||||
π | m | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) |
0 | 600 | 1.92 | 7.49 | 0.11 | 2.00 | 7.89 | 0.02 | 3.49 | 11.99 | 0 |
(0.24) | (0.86) | (0.17) | (0.19) | (0.47) | (0.05) | (0.24) | (0.30) | (0) | ||
1200 | 1.93 | 7.57 | 0.09 | 2.00 | 7.95 | 0.01 | 3.57 | 12.00 | 0 | |
(0.19) | (0.72) | (0.14) | (0.13) | (0.34) | (0.03) | (0.17) | (0.20) | (0) | ||
1800 | 1.93 | 7.62 | 0.07 | 2.00 | 7.97 | 0.01 | 3.56 | 12.00 | 0 | |
(0.16) | (0.64) | (0.12) | (0.11) | (0.27) | (0.02) | (0.14) | (0.17) | (0) | ||
0.2 | 600 | 2.07 | 8.20 | 0.19 | 2.18 | 8.70 | 0.10 | 3.48 | 12.42 | 0 |
(0.29) | (1.05) | (0.19) | (0.22) | (0.71) | (0.11) | (0.21) | (0.29) | (0) | ||
1200 | 2.04 | 8.17 | 0.19 | 2.17 | 8.73 | 0.09 | 3.46 | 12.44 | 0 | |
(0.23) | (0.88) | (0.15) | (0.16) | (0.59) | (0.09) | (0.15) | (0.20) | (0) | ||
1800 | 2.03 | 8.14 | 0.19 | 2.17 | 8.73 | 0.09 | 3.45 | 12.43 | 0 | |
(0.20) | (0.80) | (0.14) | (0.14) | (0.53) | (0.08) | (0.12) | (0.16) | (0) |
(c) Log‐normal incubation ; , | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Proposed method | Qin's method | IC method | ||||||||
π | m | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) | (SE) |
0 | 600 | 1.73 | 0.42 | 0.08 | 1.74 | 0.42 | 0.07 | 2.18 | 0.33 | 0 |
(0.10) | (0.04) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.04) | (0.09) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0) | ||
1200 | 1.74 | 0.42 | 0.06 | 1.75 | 0.42 | 0.05 | 2.18 | 0.33 | 0 | |
(0.08) | (0.03) | (0.07) | (0.07) | (0.03) | (0.07) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0) | ||
1800 | 1.75 | 0.42 | 0.05 | 1.76 | 0.41 | 0.04 | 2.18 | 0.33 | 0 | |
(0.07) | (0.03) | (0.06) | (0.06) | (0.03) | (0.06) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0) | ||
0.2 | 600 | 1.82 | 0.39 | 0.18 | 1.83 | 0.39 | 0.18 | 2.22 | 0.33 | 0 |
(0.11) | (0.04) | (0.11) | (0.10) | (0.04) | (0.11) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0) | ||
1200 | 1.82 | 0.39 | 0.19 | 1.82 | 0.39 | 0.18 | 2.22 | 0.33 | 0 | |
(0.08) | (0.03) | (0.08) | (0.08) | (0.03) | (0.08) | (0.02) | (0.01) | (0) | ||
1800 | 1.81 | 0.40 | 0.19 | 1.81 | 0.40 | 0.19 | 2.22 | 0.33 | 0 | |
(0.06) | (0.03) | (0.07) | (0.06) | (0.03) | (0.07) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0) |
Note. Estimates and standard error. The first panel is our proposed method: mixture distribution with censoring. The second panel is Qin's method. The third panel is the IC method.