Table 3. Sensitivity analysis on key burden of illness assumptions.
Assumption | Cost | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | ||
Base case | 3,680,233,795,244 | 4,235,617,109,128 | 4,701,182,922,976 | 4,846,020,781,817 | 5,019,633,100,110 | 5,486,410,086,705 | 5,814,992,976,769 | 6,159,488,759,051 | 6,421,885,598,523 | 6,716,992,852,444 | 6,906,588,614,709 | |
Self-payment cost due to exclusion | 11% | 3,711,257,139,215 | 4,269,731,656,007 | 4,738,196,072,152 | 4,891,400,747,236 | 5,069,180,707,246 | 5,539,122,026,917 | 5,869,633,553,680 | 6,216,208,548,882 | 6,479,799,073,198 | 6,776,839,043,580 | 6,967,790,505,589 |
20% | 3,758,443,405,139 | 4,321,639,376,898 | 4,794,535,810,751 | 4,960,780,852,854 | 5,144,995,017,811 | 5,619,920,613,540 | 5,953,597,774,746 | 6,303,349,096,437 | 6,568,803,055,861 | 6,868,910,792,248 | 7,061,921,021,206 | |
Discount rate | 0% | 3,874,440,653,050 | 4,536,378,779,999 | 5,036,764,090,884 | 5,184,696,012,249 | 5,348,497,726,623 | 5,841,530,537,553 | 6,156,700,946,741 | 6,518,794,425,616 | 6,763,938,237,563 | 7,097,991,969,143 | 7,265,716,631,374 |
5% | 3,608,316,562,974 | 4,124,713,574,902 | 4,576,781,509,309 | 4,719,882,859,041 | 4,896,913,092,329 | 5,353,699,002,535 | 5,686,672,763,369 | 6,024,025,376,641 | 6,292,603,171,235 | 6,574,780,651,454 | 6,770,256,188,743 | |
Friction period for worker replacement | 1 mo. | 3,346,061,583,850 | 3,726,839,993,401 | 4,121,236,220,694 | 4,255,075,036,749 | 4,436,206,798,623 | 4,854,178,186,053 | 5,195,726,556,241 | 5,502,927,031,116 | 5,787,023,551,063 | 6,035,133,811,143 | 6,227,442,843,374 |
3 mo. | 3,348,836,444,680 | 3,730,993,735,545 | 4,126,091,147,815 | 4,260,034,765,749 | 4,441,227,022,623 | 4,859,621,923,053 | 5,201,159,455,241 | 5,508,706,562,116 | 5,792,721,578,063 | 6,041,078,895,143 | 6,233,663,267,374 | |
6 mo. | 3,352,998,735,925 | 3,737,224,348,761 | 4,133,373,538,496 | 4,267,474,359,249 | 4,448,757,358,623 | 4,867,787,528,553 | 5,209,308,803,741 | 5,517,375,858,616 | 5,801,268,618,563 | 6,049,996,521,143 | 6,242,993,903,374 |
mo. = month