APPENDIX TABLE A2.

Nearest Neighbor Estimates of Discretion versus Scientific Review on Career Outcomes

VARIABLES	Number RPG Awards	Number RPG Applications	Probability RPG	Probability R01	Never RPG
Reach vs. Not Funded	0.168**	0.709***	0.067***	0.071***	−0.093***
N = 5,160	[0.052]	[0.200]	[0.020]	[0.017]	[0.024]
Reach vs. In Order	−0.172**	−0.624**	−0.095***	−0.061**	0.099***
N = 8,502	[0.055]	[0.229]	[0.022]	[0.019]	[0.029]
Reach vs. Skip	−0.138	−0.101	−0.035	−0.031	0.003
N=2,471	[0.079]	[0.286]	[0.025]	[0.022]	[0.031]
Skip vs. Not Funded	0.166*	0.612**	0.058*	0.062**	−0.091**
N=5,151	[0.071]	[0.231]	[0.025]	[0.023]	[0.030]
Skip vs. In Order	0.040	−0.258	−0.017	−0.003	0.060**
N=8,493	[0.054]	[0.186]	[0.017]	[0.016]	[0.019]
In Order vs. Not Funded	0.201***	0.739**	0.090***	0.075***	−0.134***
N = 11,182	[0.049]	[0.238]	[0.019]	[0.016]	[0.023]

Source: IMPACII and NIH/NSF Survey of Earned Doctorates, 1996 to 2008

Note: Robust Standard errors in brackets.

^***p<0.001,

^**p<0.01,

^*p<0.05.