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. 2020 Jul 18;205:106270. doi: 10.1016/j.knosys.2020.106270

Table 1.

Predicted number of COVID-19 cases using No=3 and p = 5 days.

Number of incubation period (t) Dayt.p Predicted incident cases (Qt.p) Predicted total cases (Q)
0 0 1(= N00) 1
1 5 3 (= N01) 4 (=1+3)
2 10 9 (= N02) 13 (=1+3+9)
3 15 27 (= N03) 40 (=1+3+9+27)