Table 3.
Step (Weeks) Ahead | Method | MAE | RMSE | MAPE | MASE | RMSPE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | TDHS-RF | 6451 | 10,614 | 0.176 | 1.599 | 0.240 |
TDHS-XGB | 6439 | 11,018 | 0.163 | 1.596 | 0.225 | |
TDHS-MARS | 8077 | 14,819 | 0.205 | 2.002 | 0.268 | |
RF | 6858 | 11,342 | 0.186 | 1.700 | 0.264 | |
XGB | 6489 | 11,009 | 0.168 | 1.608 | 0.231 | |
MARS | 7071 | 11,689 | 0.185 | 1.753 | 0.247 | |
ARIMA | 14,037 | 20,818 | 0.418 | 3.479 | 0.513 | |
3 | TDHS-RF | 8222 | 13,098 | 0.227 | 2.033 | 0.316 |
TDHS-XGB | 8329 | 13,764 | 0.211 | 2.059 | 0.291 | |
TDHS-MARS | 9671 | 16,012 | 0.252 | 2.391 | 0.328 | |
RF | 8691 | 13,857 | 0.241 | 2.149 | 0.346 | |
XGBoost | 8564 | 14,119 | 0.222 | 2.118 | 0.312 | |
MARS | 8780 | 14,054 | 0.234 | 2.171 | 0.323 | |
ARIMA | 14,082 | 20,862 | 0.419 | 3.482 | 0.514 | |
4 | TDHS-RF | 9994 | 15,609 | 0.280 | 2.463 | 0.401 |
TDHS-XGB | 10,178 | 16,550 | 0.264 | 2.508 | 0.375 | |
TDHS-MARS | 11,114 | 17,746 | 0.295 | 2.739 | 0.404 | |
RF | 10,478 | 16,595 | 0.295 | 2.582 | 0.435 | |
XGB | 10,433 | 17,027 | 0.274 | 2.571 | 0.401 | |
MARS | 10,462 | 16,654 | 0.285 | 2.578 | 0.414 | |
ARIMA | 14,118 | 20,903 | 0.419 | 3.479 | 0.514 |