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. 2020 Jul 1;17(13):4743. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17134743

Table 3.

Forecasting results of two to four steps (weeks) ahead of outpatient visits.

Step (Weeks) Ahead Method MAE RMSE MAPE MASE RMSPE
2 TDHS-RF 6451 10,614 0.176 1.599 0.240
TDHS-XGB 6439 11,018 0.163 1.596 0.225
TDHS-MARS 8077 14,819 0.205 2.002 0.268
RF 6858 11,342 0.186 1.700 0.264
XGB 6489 11,009 0.168 1.608 0.231
MARS 7071 11,689 0.185 1.753 0.247
ARIMA 14,037 20,818 0.418 3.479 0.513
3 TDHS-RF 8222 13,098 0.227 2.033 0.316
TDHS-XGB 8329 13,764 0.211 2.059 0.291
TDHS-MARS 9671 16,012 0.252 2.391 0.328
RF 8691 13,857 0.241 2.149 0.346
XGBoost 8564 14,119 0.222 2.118 0.312
MARS 8780 14,054 0.234 2.171 0.323
ARIMA 14,082 20,862 0.419 3.482 0.514
4 TDHS-RF 9994 15,609 0.280 2.463 0.401
TDHS-XGB 10,178 16,550 0.264 2.508 0.375
TDHS-MARS 11,114 17,746 0.295 2.739 0.404
RF 10,478 16,595 0.295 2.582 0.435
XGB 10,433 17,027 0.274 2.571 0.401
MARS 10,462 16,654 0.285 2.578 0.414
ARIMA 14,118 20,903 0.419 3.479 0.514