Table 1.
Name | 4×CO2 HC Edge Shift | HC Edge Latitude | LML HC-SWCRE | LML mean ω500 | LML HC-ω500 | ECS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Observations | - | −35.83 | −0.69 | −3.23 | −0.48 | - | |
+HC-SWCRE Models | |||||||
a | bcc-csm1–1 | −1.49 | −33.01 | 1.00 | 5.75 | 2.05 | 2.82 |
b | bcc-csm1–1-m | −2.34 | −35.01 | 0.39 | 6.91 | 1.06 | 2.87 |
c | CanESM2 | −3.44 | −33.25 | 0.67 | 6.33 | 2.08 | 3.69 |
d | CNRM-CM5v | −1.02 | −33.55 | 0.34 | 6.30 | 2.52 | 3.25 |
e | FGOALS-s2 | −3.17 | −30.74 | 0.96 | 4.25 | 3.74 | 4.17 |
f | GISS-E2-R | −1.41 | −32.98 | 0.16 | 5.58 | 2.11 | 2.11 |
g | inmcm4 | −1.14 | −35.31 | 0.21 | 5.63 | 0.62 | 2.08 |
h | IPSL-CM5A-LR | −3.91 | −30.41 | 1.66 | 3.60 | 4.87 | 4.13 |
i | IPSL-CM5B-LR | −1.08 | −30.73 | 0.67 | 3.16 | 3.50 | 2.61 |
j | MIROC-ESM | −0.52 | −31.48 | 1.33 | 4.37 | 3.37 | 4.67 |
k | MPI-ESM-LR | −1.32 | −33.80 | 0.31 | 7.53 | 3.05 | 3.63 |
l | MPI-ESM-P | −1.33 | −33.76 | 0.39 | 7.54 | 3.01 | 3.45 |
m | MRI-CGCM3 | −1.01 | −34.18 | 0.15 | 5.53 | 1.90 | 2.60 |
Mean | −1.78 | −32.94 | 0.63 | 5.58 | 2.61 | 3.24 | |
Neutral Model | |||||||
n | MIROC5 | −1.40 | −34.68 | 0.00 | 6.23 | 2.03 | 2.72 |
−HC-SWCRE Models | |||||||
o | CCSM4 | −1.38 | −36.71 | −0.54 | 7.05 | 0.23 | 2.89 |
p | CSIRO-Mk3–6-0 | −2.36 | −34.26 | −0.99 | - | - | 4.08 |
q | GFDL-CM3 | −1.55 | −34.09 | −0.10 | 7.32 | 3.15 | 3.97 |
r | GFDL-ESM2G | −1.35 | −35.53 | −0.54 | 6.64 | 1.51 | 2.39 |
s | GFDL-ESM2M | −1.28 | −34.77 | −0.41 | 6.34 | 2.17 | 2.44 |
t | HadGEM2-ES | −3.23 | −33.63 | −0.22 | 6.27 | 1.51 | 4.59 |
u | NorESM1-M | −1.42 | −36.23 | −0.54 | 6.72 | 0.80 | 2.80 |
v | NorESM1-ME | - | −36.16 | −0.66 | 6.83 | 0.51 | - |
Mean | −1.80 | −35.17 | −0.50 | 6.74 | 1.41 | 3.31 | |
Multimodel Mean | −1.79 | −33.79 | 0.20 | 5.98 | 2.19 | 3.26 |
Values in the first through fifth columns are calculated for DJF SH. The units of the first column are degrees latitude, where negative values correspond to poleward shifts. The units of the second column are degrees latitude, where negative values correspond to SH. The units of the third column are W m−2 deg−1, of the fourth column are hPa d−1, and of the fifth column hPa d−1. Equilibrium climate sensitivity values are reproduced from Table 1 of [Forster et al., 2013].