Table 4.

Area under the curve (AUC) of prediction models at three time points (T6, T12, T18, T24 and T30).

AUC
Prediction model	T6	T12	T18	T24	T30
lm	0.817 [0.812, 0.821]	0.813 [0.809, 0.816]	0.835 [0.833, 0.838]	0.842 [0.840, 0.844]	0.854 [0.852, 0.856]
Glmnet	0.818 [0.813, 0.822]	0.815 [0.811, 0.819]	0.841 [0.839, 0.844]	0.847 [0.845, 0.850]	0.859 [0.857, 0.861]
LightGBM	0.807 [0.803, 0.812]	0.808 [0.804, 0.811]	0.827 [0.825, 0.830]	0.837 [0.834, 0.839]	0.847 [0.845, 0.849]
RF	0.819 [0.815, 0.823]	0.810 [0.807, 0.814]	0.833 [0.831, 0.836]	0.840 [0.838, 0.843]	0.852 [0.850, 0.854]
XGBoost	0.789 [0.784, 0.794]	0.785 [0.782, 0.789]	0.820 [0.817, 0.823]	0.833 [0.831, 0.835]	0.844 [0.842, 0.846]

Results are shown as average values with corresponding 95% CI.