Table 3a.

Logistic regression models examining the likelihood of matching to a first choice discipline in the first iteration by year

	Year: 2013			Year: 2014			Year: 2015			Year: 2016
	OR	Confidence interval		OR	Confidence interval		OR	Confidence interval		OR	Confidence interval
Number of applications submitted	0.915***	0.894	0.937	0.907***	0.888	0.926	0.906***	0.889	0.922	0.917***	0.901	0.933
Number of volunteering activities	0.978	0.945	1.012	1.019	0.988	1.050	1.001	0.971	1.032	0.985	0.960	1.012
Number of research activities	1.000	0.969	1.032	0.992	0.970	1.014	1.001	0.976	1.027	1.005	0.983	1.026
Number of publications	1.020	0.998	1.043	0.995	0.980	1.010	0.990	0.976	1.004	0.994	0.980	1.008
Number of program ranks received	1.247***	1.188	1.309	1.256***	1.201	1.314	1.250***	1.204	1.298	1.246***	1.202	1.292
Age (ref.: 26-29 years)
< 25	0.790	0.545	1.144	1.235	0.844	1.805	0.963	0.676	1.373	1.311	0.933	1.844
30-34	0.767	0.483	1.218	1.200	0.783	1.841	0.867	0.571	1.318	1.060	0.727	1.546
35+	0.665	0.267	1.655	1.260	0.547	2.906	0.642	0.297	1.389	1.616	0.703	3.711
Gender (ref.: Female)
Male	0.867	0.632	1.188	0.906	0.678	1.211	0.980	0.737	1.303	1.053	0.805	1.378
Location of medical school (ref.: Ontario)
West	0.518	0.243	1.103	1.377	0.801	2.368	0.777	0.399	1.514	0.892	0.523	1.521
Quebec	0.358*	0.160	0.797	0.772	0.434	1.374	0.473*	0.232	0.964	0.686	0.384	1.227
East	0.439*	0.205	0.941	1.181	0.676	2.064	0.664	0.339	1.302	0.746	0.436	1.276
Current year graduate (ref.: No)
Yes	1.277	0.576	2.831	0.694	0.297	1.621	1.266	0.628	2.549	1.035	0.497	2.155
Constant	7.257			7.448*			4.737			4.204
Model fit statistics
Log-likelihood		-561.598			-642.624			-656.533			-749.042
McFadden's R2		0.119			0.122			0.154			0.131
N		1656			1788			1737			1967

Statistical significance: *p < 0.05; **p < 0.01; ***p < 0.001

Ref. is reference category. OR is odds ratio.