Table 3b.
Logistic regression models examining the likelihood of matching to a first choice discipline in the first iteration by year
| Year: 2017 | Year: 2018 | Year: 2019 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | Confidence interval | OR | Confidence interval | OR | Confidence interval | ||||
| Number of applications submitted | 0.933*** | 0.920 | 0.946 | 0.928*** | 0.916 | 0.941 | 0.925*** | 0.912 | 0.939 |
| Number of volunteering activities | 0.982 | 0.959 | 1.006 | 0.992 | 0.968 | 1.017 | 0.993 | 0.975 | 1.011 |
| Number of research activities | 0.977* | 0.959 | 0.996 | 0.972** | 0.953 | 0.991 | 0.982* | 0.967 | 0.997 |
| Number of publications | 1.004 | 0.989 | 1.018 | 0.998 | 0.986 | 1.009 | 1.010 | 1.000 | 1.021 |
| Number of program ranks received | 1.192*** | 1.157 | 1.228 | 1.147*** | 1.121 | 1.174 | 1.138*** | 1.112 | 1.166 |
| Age (ref.: 26-29 years) | |||||||||
| < 25 | 0.902 | 0.658 | 1.236 | 1.3097 | 0.970 | 1.768 | 0.949 | 0.697 | 1.293 |
| 30-34 | 0.840 | 0.591 | 1.194 | 1.5388 | 1.058 | 2.238 | 0.714 | 0.502 | 1.015 |
| 35+ | 1.513 | 0.676 | 3.388 | 0.731 | 0.383 | 1.393 | 0.460 | 0.257 | 0.824 |
| Gender (ref.: Female) | |||||||||
| Male | 0.826 | 0.640 | 1.067 | 1.102 | 0.867 | 1.401 | 0.938 | 0.735 | 1.196 |
| Location of medical school (ref.: Ontario) | |||||||||
| West | 1.392 | 0.852 | 2.273 | 0.740 | 0.444 | 1.234 | 0.967 | 0.586 | 1.597 |
| Quebec | 0.550* | 0.327 | 0.927 | 0.335*** | 0.195 | 0.575 | 0.402*** | 0.236 | 0.684 |
| East | 1.067 | 0.649 | 1.756 | 0.665 | 0.395 | 1.121 | 0.889 | 0.537 | 1.471 |
| Current year graduate (ref.: No) | |||||||||
| Yes | 1.202 | 0.625 | 2.310 | 1.537 | 0.821 | 2.878 | 1.015 | 0.536 | 1.919 |
| Constant | 3.633 | 3.771 | 9.278** | ||||||
| Model fit statistics | |||||||||
| Log-likelihood | -803.251 | -901.083 | -874.090 | ||||||
| McFadden's R2 | 0.143 | 0.136 | 0.108 | ||||||
| N | 2020 | 2124 | 2109 | ||||||
Statistical significance: *p < 0.05; **p < 0.01; ***p < 0.001
Ref. is reference category. OR is odds ratio.