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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Jul 24.
Published in final edited form as: Saf Sci. 2018 Mar;103:225–233. doi: 10.1016/j.ssci.2017.12.002

Table 2.

Bayesian conditional autoregressive logit models, Odds Ratios (OR) with Credible Intervals (CI) for the odds of an injury crash occurring on a street segment from 2011 to 2014, Philadelphia (n = 37,673). A CI that includes the null value of 1.00 provides evidence against an association.

Model 1
Model 2
IRR (95% CI) IRR (95% CI)
Intersections – EXITS
 2 0.930 0.694 1.231 0.811 0.560 1.148
 3 1.003 0.878 1.145 1.022 0.878 1.187
 4 1.315 1.124 1.539 1.531 1.279 1.829
 ≥5 1.206 1.038 1.400 1.147 0.967 1.355
Intersections – stop type
 All way stop signs 1.166 0.999 1.365 1.190 1.006 1.408
 One or two way stop signs 0.769 0.669 0.884 0.878 0.749 1.033
 Signalized 2.281 1.957 2.657 2.326 1.965 2.757
 Other (incl. pedestrian crossing) 0.679 0.579 0.795 0.721 0.602 0.864
Street – vehicular traffic
 No estimate available [reference]
 Low volume 1.447 1.213 1.720 1.509 1.230 1.844
 Moderate volume 2.062 1.725 2.466 2.122 1.711 2.618
 High volume 2.389 1.996 2.855 2.768 2.239 3.404
Street - Characteristics
 Length (100 m) 1.208 1.144 1.278 1.206 1.142 1.275
 One way 1.079 0.944 1.232 1.119 0.972 1.291
 Bicycle traffic index 1.100 1.061 1.141 1.100 1.053 1.147
 Trolley 0.969 0.806 1.158 0.962 0.754 1.213
 Bicycle lane 1.436 1.239 1.661 4.568 2.425 8.593
Interactions
 Bike lane * 2 exits 1.537 0.822 2.855
 Bike lane * 3 exits 0.902 0.654 1.243
 Bike lane * 4 exits 0.524 0.363 0.756
 Bike lane * ≥5 exits 1.217 0.855 1.728
 Bike lane * All way stop signs 1.043 0.651 1.658
 Bike lane * One or two way stop signs 0.601 0.439 0.824
 Bike lane * Signalized 0.981 0.658 1.496
 Bike lane * Other (incl. pedestrian crossing) 0.812 0.563 1.170
 Bike lane * Class code 2
 Bike lane * Class code 3
 Bike lane * One Way 0.769 0.572 1.028
 Bike lane * Bicycle traffic index 1.000 0.925 1.081
 Bike lane * Trolley 1.008 0.699 1.452
 Bike lane * Low volume 0.735 0.477 1.146
 Bike lane * Moderate volume 0.788 0.518 1.210
 Bike lane * High volume 0.572 0.373 0.885