Table 4.
State-level sentiment toward racial or ethnic minorities and individual-level birth outcomes.
| State-level Twitter-derived variables (tertiles for race-related tweets that are negative) | Low birth weighta,b, incidence ratio (95% CI) or n |
Preterm birtha,b, incidence ratio (95% CI) or n |
|||
| Total sample |
|
|
|||
|
|
Second tertile vs first tertile (lowest) | 1.08 (1.03-1.13) | 1.09 (1.04-1.13) | ||
|
|
Third tertile | 1.08 (1.04-1.13) | 1.08 (1.00-1.14) | ||
|
|
Number | 9,985,402 | 9,988,030 | ||
| Minorities |
|
|
|||
|
|
Second tertile vs first tertile (lowest) | 1.12 (1.04-1.19) | 1.10 (1.05-1.15) | ||
|
|
Third tertile | 1.13 (1.06-1.21) | 1.10 (1.05-1.16) | ||
|
|
Number | 4,920,300 | 4,921,577 | ||
| White people |
|
|
|||
|
|
Second tertile vs first tertile (lowest) | 1.07 (1.02-1.12) | 1.09 (1.03-1.15) | ||
|
|
Third tertile | 1.08 (1.03-1.14) | 1.08 (1.00-1.17) | ||
|
|
Number | 5,407,779 | 5,409,230 | ||
aData sources for health outcomes were 2015, 2016, and 2017 natality files. Tweets were collected from June 2015 to December 2017.
bAdjusted log binomial models were run for each outcome separately. Models were controlled for year and state-level factors including percent non-Hispanic black people, percent Hispanic people, southern state indicator, population density, and economic disadvantage (standardized factor score summarizing the following variables [%]: unemployed, some college education, high school diploma, children in poverty, single parent household, and median household income), as well as individual-level factors including maternal age, sex, race, ethnicity, foreign birth, education, marital status, smoking, body mass index, first birth status, and prenatal care. Twitter-derived characteristics were categorized into tertiles, with the lowest tertile serving as the reference group. Cluster-adjusted errors are reported.