Table 3.
Estimates of rabies virus entry through three risk pathways (with no risk mitigation measures in place).
| Entry of rabies virus | Probability | Uncertainty | Evidence | Estimate (Uncertainty) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STRAY DOG PATHWAY | ||||
| - Probability determined by prevalence of rabies in stray dogs | Medium | Low | (8) | Medium (Low) |
| - Probability determined by stray dog movement | Medium | Low | (4, 5, 22, 23) | |
| - Probability determined by sustained transmission | Medium | Low | (4, 5, 23) | |
| PET DOG PATHWAY | ||||
| - Probability determined by prevalence of rabies in pet dogs in the endemic areas | Low | Low | Expert opinion | Low (Low) |
| - Probability determined by frequency of pet dogs traveled to the rabies-free areas | Low | Low | Expert opinion | |
| CATTLE PATHWAY | ||||
| - Probability determined by prevalence of rabies in cattle in the endemic areas | Low | Low | (8, 24) and Expert opinion | Low (Low) |
| - Probability determined by the number of cattle transported | Low | Low | Expert opinion | |