Table 6.
Estimates of exposure probabilities in susceptible populations (with current risk mitigation measures in place).
| Exposure of susceptible population | Probability | Uncertainty | Supporting evidence | Estimate (Uncertainty) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STRAY DOG MEDIATED PATHWAY | ||||
| - Probability determined by density of susceptible population | Medium | Low | (4, 5, 7) | Low (Low) |
| - Probability of public in the rabies low-risk zone not reporting on seeing rabid dog (public awareness)* | Low | Low | Expert opinion | |
| - Probability of current passive veterinary surveillance not detecting rabid stray dog* | Medium | Low | Expert opinion | |
| PET MEDIATED PATHWAY | ||||
| - Probability determined by density of susceptible population | Medium | Low | (29, 30) | Low (Low) |
| - Probability of public in the rabies low-risk zone not reporting on seeing rabid pet dog (public awareness)* | Low | Low | Expert opinion | |
| - Probability of pet intermingling with other animals determined by pet-owning practice* | Medium | Low | Expert opinion | |
| CATTLE MEDIATED PATHWAY | ||||
| - Probability of cattle owner not reporting suspected rabies in cattle* | Very low | Low | Expert opinion (31, 35) | Very low (Low) |
*
Ineffectiveness of current mitigation measures contributing to the probability of exposure in the susceptible populations. Although these mitigation measures are less likely to prevent the first exposure, they can be helpful in widespread subsequent exposures.