Table 5.
BDTI results.
BDTI | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean equation | |||||
BDTI [−1] | 0.635*** (0.04) |
0.693*** (0.04) |
0.689*** (0.04) |
0.692*** (0.04) |
0.693*** (0.04) |
Coronavirus | 0.006 (0.01) |
−0.041*** (0.01) |
−0.043*** (0.01) |
−0.043*** (0.01) |
−0.041*** (0.01) |
Global Calls | 0.076 (0.06) |
0.078 (0.06) |
|||
China Calls | 0.027 (0.03) |
||||
Brent [−1] | −0.042* (0.02) |
−0.042** (0.025) |
−0.081*** (0.02) |
−0.080*** (0.02) |
−0.076*** (0.02) |
S&P 500 | −0.128*** (0.05) |
−0.135*** (0.05) |
|||
S&P 500 [−1] | 0.162*** (0.04) |
0.16*** (0.10) |
0.41*** (0.10) |
||
Shanghai | 0.084** (0.04) |
0.076* (0.04) |
0.041 (0.04) | ||
VIX [−1] | 0.036*** (0.01) |
||||
Constant | −0.047 (0.08) |
−0.011 (0.08) |
−0.017 (0.07) |
−0.018 (0.07) |
−0.021 (0.08) |
GARCH equation | |||||
Constant | 0.220*** (0.06) |
0.207*** (0.06) |
0.202*** (0.07) |
0.204*** (0.06) |
0.204*** (0.07) |
ARCH | 0.662*** (0.09) |
0.650*** (0.08) |
0.720*** (0.09) |
0.684*** (0.09) |
0.754*** (0.11) |
GARCH | 0.487*** (0.06) |
0.500*** (0.05) |
0.467*** (0.05) |
0.482*** (0.05) |
0.421*** (0.06) |
R-squared | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0.43 | 0.43 |
Durbin-Watson | 2.03 | 2.16 | 2.12 | 2.13 | 2.18 |
Observations | 350 | 350 | 350 | 350 | 350 |
See notes in Table 3.
Figures in parentheses (.) indicate t-statistics. ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% significance levels, respectively.