Table 3. Results of the Deterministic Sensitivity Analysis With the Predicted Annual Increase in Tax Revenue, Social Cost Savings and the Net Monetary Benefit at Suggested 30% And 90% Cut Off Values for Tobacco Tax Increase in Response to the Variability of Price Elasticity of Demand and Substitution Factor .

Input	Predicted Gain in Tax Revenue (LKR Mn)		Predicted Social Savings (LKR Mn)		Predicted Net Monetary Benefit (LKR Mn)
	30% Tax Increase	90% Tax Increase	30% Tax Increase	90% Tax Increase	30% Tax Increase	90% Tax Increase
Base case analysis Price elasticity -0.74, substitution factor 1%	3544	-24 272	28 069	86 854	31 613	62 582
Price elasticity of demand of cigarettes of -0.53	12 850	16 532	19 728	61 831	32 578	78 362
Price elasticity of demand of cigarettes of -0.65	7532	-6785	24 494	76 130	32 026	69 345
Substitution factor of 2%	7975	-4842	26 745	85 530	34 720	80 688