. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Jul 26.

Published in final edited form as: Demography. 2020 Feb;57(1):171–194. doi: 10.1007/s13524-019-00844-9

Table 2.

Ratios of observed and counterfactual marriage rates in 2005–2009 to observed marriage rate in 1985–1989, by education and age

		Women		Men
		Observed Ratio	Counterfactual Ratio	Observed Ratio	Counterfactual Ratio
		MR 2005–2009	AR Constant	MR 2005–2009	AR Constant	No International Marriage
		MR 1985–1989	MR 1985–1989	MR 1985–1989	MR 1985–1989	MR 1985–1989

Did Not Attend High School
	20–24	0.22^***	0.12^***	0.40^***	0.34^***	0.40^***
	25–29	0.19^***	0.13^***	0.26^***	0.19^***	0.26^***
	30–34	0.33^***	0.19^***	0.13^***	0.17^***	0.10^***
	35–39	0.64^*	0.36^***	0.21^***	0.54^***	0.08^***
	40–44	1.78	1.36	0.40^***	1.25	0.17^***
Attended High School Only
	20–24	0.67^***	0.32^***	0.89	0.80^*	0.88
	25–29	0.40^***	0.25^***	0.36^***	0.28^***	0.35^***
	30–34	0.64^***	0.45^***	0.22^***	0.35^***	0.20^***
	35–39	1.21	0.95	0.25^***	1.20	0.16^***
	40–44	4.18^**	3.41^*	0.29^***	1.19	0.15^***
Attended Junior College
	20–24	0.89	1.08	1.15	1.67^†	1.13
	25–29	0.50^***	0.64^***	0.45^***	0.60^***	0.45^***
	30–34	1.02	1.14	0.25^***	0.34^***	0.24^***
	35–39	1.65	1.71	0.23^***	0.41^*	0.19^***
	40–44	N.A.	N.A.	N.A.	N.A.	N.A.
Attended University
	20–24	0.45^***	0.46^***	0.73^***	0.70^***	0.73^***
	25–29	0.41^***	0.46^***	0.44^***	0.30^***	0.44^***
	30–34	0.85^†	0.90	0.36^***	0.33^***	0.36^***
	35–39	1.79	1.55	0.34^***	0.44^***	0.32^***
	40–44	0.61^†	0.52^*	0.28^***	0.39^***	0.24^***

Notes: N.A. = no marriage was recorded in the data for the period 1985–1989 among men aged 40–44 who attended junior college. MR = marriage rate. AR = availability ratio.

^†

p < .10;

p < .05;

^**

p < .01;

^***

p < .001 (statistical significance of tests that ratios equal 1.0)