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. 2020 Apr 2;40(7):1545–1555. doi: 10.1111/liv.14408

TABLE 2.

Scenario inputs, 2017‐2031

Status quo 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2025+
Treated 45 000 56 400 44 600 33 700 23 200 15 100 15 100
Newly diagnosed/newly linked to care 30 400 30 400 20 ,000 20 000 20 000 20 000 20 000
Fibrosis score restriction ≥F0 ≥F0 ≥F0 ≥F0 ≥F0 ≥F0 ≥F0
New infections 8200 7500 6700 6100 5600 5200 5200
Treated ages 15+ 15+ 15+ 15+ 15+ 15+ 15+
SVR 95% 95% 98% 98% 98% 98% 98%
GHSS elimination 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2025+
Treated 45 000 56 400 44 600 35 700 35 700 36 700 38 000
Incremental newly diagnosed/newly linked to care 10 400 13 400 13 400 15 400 16 400
Fibrosis score restriction ≥F0 ≥F0 ≥F0 ≥F0 ≥F0 ≥F0 ≥F0
New infections 8200 7500 6700 5500 5000 4100 2600
Treated ages 15+ 15+ 15+ 15+ 15+ 15+ 15+
SVR 95% 95% 98% 98% 98% 98% 98%

Abbreviations: GHSS, Global Health Sector Strategy; SVR, sustained virologic response.