Table 2. Comparison of AIC and BIC model selection criteria.

		AIC		BIC
		5-day-ahead	15-day-ahead	5-day-ahead	15-day-ahead
Pearson’s correlation	2014 M1 model	0.93	0.76	0.93	0.76
	2014 M2 model	0.93	0.79	0.93	0.79
	2015 M1 model	0.94	0.74	0.93	0.73
	2015 M2 model	0.94	0.76	0.94	0.76
MAE	2014 M1 model	16.9	33.1	17.0	33.1
	2014 M2 model	16.3	31.3	16.2	31.4
	2015 M1 model	22.7	52.5	22.9	52.7
	2015 M2 model	22.0	49.1	22.2	49.2
RMSE	2014 M1 model	23.0	44.3	22.9	44.3
	2014 M2 model	22.3	40.6	22.3	40.6
	2015 M1 model	36.5	77.0	36.0	76.1
	2015 M2 model	34.6	70.3	34.5	70.3