Table 2. MSPE for one step ahead predictions for individual and colony level models.
Individual Movement | ||
Method | Train MSPE | Test MSPE |
Multinomial Regression + SDE | 0.2105 | 0.2375 |
Random Forest | 0.1765 | 0.2149 |
NN | 0.1952 | 0.2375 |
RNN | 0.2057 | 0.2316 |
LSTM | 0.2060 | 0.2325 |
Colony Movement | ||
Method | Train MSPE | Test MSPE |
Random Forest | 0.2204 | 0.2522 |
NN | 0.2208 | 0.2518 |
RNN | 0.2211 | 0.2519 |
LSTM | 0.2222 | 0.2543 |