Table 3.

Symptomatic Recovery at 10 years, adjusted model (number included in analyses = 213)

	Adj. ORa	95% CI	p	Adj. ORb,c,d	95% CI	p
Demographic
Ethnicity
White British	1.00	–	–	1.00	–	–
Other	0.43	0.22–0.85	0.015	0.44	0.21–0.91	0.027
Social
Index of social disadvantage
0, 1	1.00	–	–	1.00	–	–
2	0.63	0.26–1.49	0.289	0.79	0.31–2.03	0.624
3	0.54	0.24–1.23	0.144	0.70	0.28–1.74	0.444
4	0.29	0.12–0.69	0.006	0.46	0.18–1.18	0.107
Early clinical course
Remission at 12 weeks
No	1.00	–	–	1.00	–	–
Yes	3.92	2.13–7.21	<0.001	3.33	1.72–6.43	<0.001
Clinical
Diagnosis
Non-affective	1.00	–	–	1.00	–	–
Mania	4.09	1.71–9.78	0.002	1.74	0.48–6.27	0.395
Depression	2.84	1.17–6.89	0.021	2.68	1.02–7.05	0.045
Dimensions
Reality distortion	0.89	0.80–0.98	0.022	0.94	0.84–1.05	0.289
Mania	1.11	1.00–1.23	0.047	1.03	0.89–1.20	0.704

^aAdjusted for centre, sex, age (as continuous variable), and ethnicity

^bAdjusted for centre, sex, age (as continuous variable), and ethnicity, and all other variables in table

^cPseudo r² 0.15 (i.e. approximately 15% of variance explained by variables in model)

^dPercentage with symptom recovery correctly predicted, 61.0%